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What’s goin’ on fantasy golf fans?! I hope everyone enjoyed the Deutsche Bank Championship and saw some solid DraftKings results. Bubba Watson was clearly my worst call from last week, so we will try and dodge that bullet this week – it should be a bit easier since the BMW Championship is a no cut event.
The third leg of the FedEx Cup playoffs will take place at Crooked Stick Golf Club in Indiana. It’s a Pete Dye designed course, which typically means an accuracy track, but not this week! Crooked Stick is a 7,516-yard par 72 so golfers will definitely need some extra distance to reach the longer par 4s and take advantage of the par 5s. The fact that there is no cut this week means golfers will have to gain an advantage in DraftKings scoring by finishing position and making as many birdies as possible.
Let’s get to the picks!
My favorite golfers for the week – for Cash and GPP contests
Jason Day – $11,600
The best golfer in the world has been dethroned as the most expensive golfer in the DraftKings pricing. After a 15th place finish at the Deutsche Bank and a horrendous week off the tee, Day is somewhat struggling with his game a bit, which is the perfect recipe for an under the radar play – if there is such a thing for Jason Day. I’m going back to the well with Day, as I think he will bounce back from last weeks driving struggles and find himself in the final group come Sunday.
Adam Scott – $10,200
Scott has regained his early season form, firing off back to back T4 finishes in the FedEx Cup playoffs. He’s clearly knocking on the door of a title and there is no reason to believe he won’t be back within the top 5 this week at The BMW. There is a good chance he will be the chalk this week, which does not scare me in cash and I would encourage going overweight on him in GPPs to reap the rewards of another top 5 finish.
Rickie Fowler – $8,900
Fowler smelt victory two weeks ago at The Barclays, but fell apart in the final round. He struggled at The Deutsche Bank as well, but his stats are too elite to ignore for this event. He comes in 3rd in my weighted stats ranking due to his strokes gained stats and par 4 and 5 scoring averages. Rickie’s price of $8,900 represents tremendous value for a golfer who just contended in a playoff event. He’s well worth a shot in GPPs, with no fear that he will miss the cut.
Brooks Koepka – $8,000
Brooks Koepka is a pure scorer, so what better time to roster him than an event he is guaranteed 72 holes – assuming he doesn’t withdraw. There is definitely some risk associated with Koepka, but he ranks 5th in the field in birdie or better percentage, so I expect him to be near the top in terms of birdies made this week. He has had back-to-back disappointing finishes, so hopefully people are scared of Brooks. Don’t be. He will finish inside the top 5 in DraftKings points this week.
Ryan Palmer – $6,800
Did anyone else know that Ryan Palmer is ranked 13th in birdie or better percentage for 2016? Me neither. Well, he is, which makes him one of my favorite plays on the board this week. He should have no issue navigating his way around this course thanks to his distance off the tee, and at $6,800, he is a must play in all formats for this week. He offers too much cash relief to be able to spend up at the top.
Price too high? Seems like chalk? Players I will have no share of
Rory McIlroy – $11,900
Rory McIlory found his putting stroke last week and found himself hoisting the trophy on Sunday. And for that I am fading Rory, which could backfire in a huge way. I am just not paying up for Rory, who before his win last week, was struggling big time to make a putt of any length.
Gary Woodland – $8,400
There is no chance I have Woodland in a single lineup this week. He is so inconsistent and has massive blow up potential. He is wild off the tee and will find himself in some sticky situations this week. His lack of birdie making ability is also concerning in a week that will be mainly decided on who can put up the most red numbers.
So you got burned?
Previously high owned golfers to consider
Charl Schwartzel – $7,300
What is going on with Charl? In back-to-back weeks he has seemed under priced and has under performed considerably. In a no cut event, Charl’s upside is limited, but expect his ownership to be much lower than recent events. He definitely has the ability to finish inside the top 15 this week and that is all you can ask for from a $7,300 golfer.
Charley Hoffman – $6,400
With slim pickings this week for the “So you got burned” segment, I have been forced to include Charley Hoffman since the decision to roster him was a popular conversation last week at TPC Boston. I will not be going all in on Charley this week, but I expect a solid bounce back performance this week from a guy who has much more talent than the golfers who surround him. Hoffman is near the dead minimum in pricing this week, so what do you have to lose?
Identifying the chalk, and going elsewhere
Justin Rose – $10,000
Since Adam Scott is the projected chalk this week, drop down to Justin Rose who was in contention last week before a 45 final nine on Sunday saw him finish T57. It was just a brutal way for Rose to end the event, but I do not see that type of form to carry over to The BMW. Rose is always under owned and will be a great GPP pivot.
Billy Horschel – $7,900
Horschel is surrounded by popular names in an area I think will be heavily owned this week due to the way pricing panned out. Casey, Kuchar, Koepka and Berger all fall within the same range as Horschel, who missed the cut last week. He was showing solid form before last week, so take a shot on the chance Horschel finishes inside the top 15 this week.
Sean O’Hair – $6,900
O’Hair was well overpriced last week and definitely struggled to fulfill his value. People will ignore O’Hair at The BMW when they shouldn’t, as O’Hair is known as a Pete Dye specialist. This is a great time to get back on O’Hair and look for a similar finish he had at The Barclays.
Thanks again for reading my preview article. I hope you find it helpful and discovered some golfers you hadn’t thought of for The BMW Championship. Follow me on Twitter for more golf talk!
Good luck this week everybody!