by RickRunGood | Sep 14, 2016 | DraftKings, Fanduel, NFL, NFL Pro Tools |
Here are NFL Projections for Week 2! Below you will find both the online and downloadable versions of my NFL Projections. This week is now using 2016 data, so the projections are a little volatile. Since we only have one game of information, basically anyone who had a good Week 1 is also projected to do so again this week. Also, NFL tends to be one of the harder sports to make projections for. The lack of overall data from only 16 games and the overall volatility of the game makes exact projections difficult. I would use these to projections to identify value play and those players who are in good matchups.
These projections take will take into account three main factors: recent performance, matchup and Vegas Line. Those three factors lend themselves very well to fantasy scoring.
You can watch me build this spreadsheet here.
Glossary:
2x, 3x, 4x – The amount of fantasy points a player needs to score to reach 2x, 3x and 4x value on his salary.
DVP – The amount of fantasy points a defense allows to that specific position. (1.4 means they allow 1.4x the league average).
TmTot – The projected points a team will score according to the Las Vegas line.
AvgTmTot – The average projected points total for that team according to Las Vegas lines.
%2x, %3x and %4x – The liklihood that a player reaches those value milestones.
Mean – Average fantasy points scored by that player.
StdDev – The mathematical calculation for standard deviation.
Pro Members Download Below
Week 2 DraftKings Projections
Browse Online | Download CSV
Week 2 Fanduel Projections
Browse Online | Download CSV
by RickRunGood | Sep 14, 2016 | Data Center, DraftKings, Fanduel, NFL, NFL Pro Tools |
There are the running Game Logs for the 2016 NFL season. These will be updated each week after all games are completed. It will include scoring for DraftKings, Fanduel and standard leagues. It also include the full box score for each player as well as the Las Vegas line and over/under. The spreadsheet is great for finding trends, making projections or anything else you could possibly think of creating.
Browse Online
Download XLS (Updated Through Week 17)
by RickRunGood | Sep 8, 2016 | NFL Pro Tools |
If you are trying to build your own NFL Projections using my video tutorial, here are all the extra tools you’ll need. These are stats that I compile on a weekly basis. Each week they will be updated here for your usage.
Updated Through Week 12, 2016
Defense Vs. Position
Player Scoring Calendar
Average Vegas Lines
by RickRunGood | Nov 12, 2015 | DraftKings, Fanduel, NFL, NFL Pro Tools |
I have compiled all of the NFL Game Logs for every player in the 2015 season.. These are currently updated through Week 17, which is over 4,500 games. The spreadsheet is great for finding trends, making projections or anything else you could possibly think of creating.
The CSV file includes the stat lines for every player in every game. It has their fantasy scoring for standard, PPR, DraftKings and Fanduel.
Here’s a screenshot of what it looks like.
Browse Online
Download CSV (Updated Through Week 17)
by RickRunGood | Jan 3, 2015 | DraftKings, NFL, NFL Pro Tools |
If you like this tool, there are few other awesome tools for Pro Members including Points Allowed by Position and Snap Counts.
A compilation of every point scored by every player in every game. The table is available for download via CSV!
As you probably already know, I release the weekly points leaderboard at the conclusion of each week. This is where I am compiling all that data so we can see every point scored by every player in every game. This will help you see who’s been the most consistent, who’s provided the most value or who might be a great flier. This tool has countless uses and I will continue to update it throughout the season.
UPDATE: I have made significant improvements to this table. By default, it is sorted by average game (DraftKings scoring) and I have included Standard Deviation to show how consistent a player is on a weekly basis (the smaller the number, the more consistent). It also includes standard fantasy scoring. You can also download the XLS for your personal purposes.
Browse Online
Download XLS (Updated Through Week 17)
