Today we have a 14 game slate, where we have some decisions to make for the top end pitchers. 3 high priced pitchers in Scherzer, deGrom (his start got pushed pushed back to today), and Archer. If you’re going to the top 3, my favorite is Scherzer. deGrom has a blister problem, and Archer is giving up almost 50% hard contact to lefties. Max has one of the highest strikeout upside in the MLB. Sure, he could give up a couple of long balls, but the Padres will strikeout. I’m not in love with paying up for pitchers, but Scherzer is the best option.
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Eduardo Rodriguez draws a start vs. the Mariners in Fenway Park. Rodriguez is finally showing some swing and stuff, and it has led to solid strikeout upside. He has been fairly “unlucky” with a .400 BAPIP vs. lefties. Eduardo has reverse splits, giving up .343 wOBA to lefties, but that should go down with the BAPIP. Almost a 30% K rate vs. righties is very good, and being solid vs. lefties puts him in a good spot at $8,800 on DraftKings. If you need a cheap pitcher, Matt Cain has been very good at home.
The Mets take on Chad Kuhl in PNC Park. A left handed heavy Mets team faces Kuhl, who owns a .486 wOBA vs. lefties. This won’t spell good things for Kuhl, as Bruce, Conforto and Walker can mash. PNC Park is better for left handed hitters, and the Mets could throw 7 lefties at him. Over a 40% hard contact rate and 20% K rate vs. lefties is not good. All the lefties, preferably Conforto and Bruce.
Joe Musgrove battles the Orioles in Houston, where Musgrove is giving up 1.93 HR/9 to righties. The wOBA sits at .367 to righties, and the slugging is almost at .500 The O’s top of the lineup will have Jones, Machado and Trumbo. This stack should go under owned, and has massive upside. Schoop could be used as a one off as well. Both sides of this game are in play.