Saturday baseball has brought us 2 solid slates. Ivan Nova at $8,700 is in a great spot. A big ballpark in Pittsburgh, Nova doesn’t have great strikeout upside, but the Phillies as a team strikeout a lot. Nova has been really good for the Pirates early in the season, but has cooled off in some tougher matchups. He pounds the strike zone, and if he gets deep into the game, he will pay off his salary expectation.
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Robbie Ray gets the ball in a late game in San Diego. The Padres are not very good and they strikeout a lot. Ray is a lefty that strikes out a ton of hitters, 30% to be exact. The only real problem this team can present is the long ball. A lot of boom or bust hitters in the San Diego lineup could get them a few runs, but Ray’s K upside trumps that in this spot.
Bartolo Colon is not very good at baseball anymore. He can get hit very easily, and can give up a lot of runs. He has given up at least 4 ER in 5 of 8 starts, and has been tagged with the long ball. Bartolo now has to pitch in a hitter friendly park vs. the Washington Nationals. A lot of pop in this lineup should get to Colon early and often. My favorite plays would be 2-6, leaving off Trea Turner, whose price is quite high at $5,000.
Mike Fiers faces off against Mike Clevinger in Houston today, and I like both sides. Fiers loves giving up the long ball, especially to the righties, .489 wOBA. Mike Clevinger also bad vs. righties, .385 wOBA, and this is where I want to stack. Springer, Altuve and Correa would be my preferred plays, but Reddick and Beltran also deserve some consideration.