Today’s Thursday slate brings us 2 slates, a 6 game early slate and 5 game main slate. In the morning slate, the pitching options are slim, but I’m going to Tyler Anderson in Philadelphia. Obviously this is a good park shift for Anderson, and he gets a Phillies team that strikes out a lot. Tyler Anderson’s stats are inflated due to Coors Field, but he has held hitters to low hard contact rates. He has rallied off 3 good starts in a row, now gets strikeout upside, and a better ballpark to pitch in. Sp2 on the early slate I like Andriese and Nova.
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Robbie Ray gets the ball as he faces the Brew Crew in Milwaukee. This is a GPP play only, because Robbie Ray has massive K upside, but could get blown up. The Brewers strikeout over 24% of the time, but they do have a lot of pop. If you need a safer pitcher, Michael Wacha faces the LA Dodgers. Wacha has been super consistent, going 6 innings in all of his starts. He does lack upside, but his floor is relatively high for a weak slate.
Bartolo is not good. I will continue to stack against him, especially in Sun Trust Park, that is playing super small. The Pirates aren’t a great hitting team, but this is the best spot on the slate. Both sides of the plate are slugging over .500 vs. Colon, and he is still giving up bombs. He doesn’t miss enough bats and is hard contact rate is really high. Frazier has been tearing the cover off the ball, and he is good for a one off too. The whole lineup is in play here vs. Bartolo.
Mike Fiers bleeds hard contact to righties, and most of the Tigers hitters are right handed. 5.82 HR/9 vs. righties is obviously going to regress, but it is not a good loo for Fiers to start the season. A .469 wOBA and .800 slugging vs. righties will not do Fiers any good in this matchup. Most of the Tigers bats are cheap enough, and you could get deGrom in there if you wanted. This is the best spot on the late slate, the Tigers can hit bombs, and Fiers loves to give them up.