The obvious play on this weak pitching slate is Max Scherzer ($12,600), at home versus the D-Backs. Scherzer’s one downfall this year came against the Mets, who ran out a left handed heavy lineup, where they tagged him up for 5 ER. The Diamondbacks however will have 3 left handed hitters at most in Jake Lamb, David Peralta (who is DTD with sickness) and Chris Herrmann. Max should be able to rack up some K’s here as well, with the D-Backs K% at 23.3%. Scherzer will probably be the highest owned pitcher in the early slate, so you could pivot to Salazar in GPPs, who holds a higher K/9, but fading Max Scherzer is never recommended.
Now we will look at a pitcher facing a bad team, in a pitchers ballpark, and it is Derek Holland. Now, Holland isn’t a strikeout guy (K/9 7.14), but he has been very solid this season posting more than 14 points in four out of his five starts. The Royals hold MLB’s worst wRC+ at 66, and 4th worst ISO at .126. Pairing that with Holland’s .93 HR/9 and 7.9% HR/FB, it is a safe bet he will keep the ball in the yard. At $7,700, Holland is cheap enough to pair with any other pitcher.
The Nationals are off to a crazy hot start in any stat you can look at. What is more impressive is they are only striking out at 19.4% of the time. The Nats take on Braden Shipley, who just got recalled, and thrown into an awful matchup. The top of the lineup should look something like Turner, Werth, Harper, Zimmerman, Murphy, who should be able to get to Shipley quick. Harper or Murphy would be my preferred one offs if you don’t stack.
A more sneaky stack is the Seattle Mariners. They should be fairly low owned on the late slate with BOS and BAL on the slate and 1-5 this lineup is pretty good. Seagura, Gamel, Cano, Cruz, Seager are the guys I’m looking at. Cruz and Seagura don’t get the platoon advantage but Alex Meyer isn’t very good and the Mariners will jump on him quick. In his one start vs TOR this season it took him 75 pitches to go 3.2 innings. Fire up the M’s tomorrow.