Doesn’t it feel like every Hornets player has significant home/road splits? That’s the case again with Kemba Walker who averaged 43.7 DraftKings PPG at home compared to just 38.3 PPG on the road this season. Kemba is the best of the second-tier PGs, so you’ll get him at a discount. He’s carrying the offensive load for Charlotte, scoring 24.2 PPG this season. He’s a little dependent on real points as opposed to scoring in other categories, but this matchup with Dallas is excellent. The Mavs are just brutal right now and have allowed 111 PPG over their last three contests. That’s the 6th worst mark in the league.
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I hate this matchup, but it’s all about opportunity for Wayne Ellington. Thanks to plenty of Miami injuries he played 27 minutes on Monday night and the bench got even thinner for Miami last night. Josh Richardson tweaked an ankle before last night’s game, didn’t play and has already been ruled out tonight. With Richardson out, Ellington played 32 minutes, scoring 22 points and racking up 4 steals. Again, this matchup is probably the worst you can get with two really sluggish teams, but this guy is min-priced and is certainly going to have to play a lot of minutes again tonight.
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You can buy on Trevor Ariza who goes from the worst matchup in the league (UTA) to the best (GSW) in just two nights! Ariza was completely shut down by Utah, but I am willing to give him a pass and take the discount. The two games prior to the dud, Ariza scored 31 and 42 DraftKings points. This dude is going to launch a ton of 3PA so if he gets hot, watch out! His seven 3PA per game is the third highest total in the league and he’s knocking them down at a career high rate. I don’t need to tell you that HOU/GSW should contain plenty of fantasy fireworks. This game has already been tallied with a monster 230.5 line from Vegas.
Ugh, how about Michael Beasley? This guy just won’t go away and is currently playing well off the bench for Milwaukee. He’s coming off a 17-2-2 game in 26 minutes of action. Jason Kidd and his rotations are extremely volatile, which reflects in Beasley’s minutes. He’s played 26, 17, 16, and 20 in his last four, so there’s really no telling how much action he’s going to see tonight. The good news is that Kidd tends to ride the hot hand, which Beasley would certainly qualify tonight. If he gets in the game and plays well early, he could see 25 minutes of action at a very cheap tag, with a great matchup.
Another risky option is Bismack Biyombo who has entered the starting lineup with Orlando and has played 30, 33 and 34 minutes over his last three games. Biyombo has mostly disappointing this season, but we’ve seen what this guy can do in the past. He’s an effective rebounder with a nose for blocking shots. He’s finally earning some run so I think he’s worth a flier at this price range. The pace with Memphis isn’t terrible and they are really thin across the board right now. I’d never trust him in cash games, but he’s a great GPP option.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.