Only three games on the slate tonight, so not too much to discuss. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.
I still like Chris Paul ($8,600) as a nice pivot from Steph Curry tonight. Both games have high totals and Paul is a full $2,000 less than Curry. Many will shy away from Paul who has been banged up as of late. Despite his injuries, he’s registered 33 and 35 minutes in the last two, which is a full workload for CP3. Despite two sub-par games in a row, there’s plenty to be optimistic about. He logged a double-double last night against Dallas in one of his worst shooting performances of the year. He’s certainly not going to go 2-11 from the field very often, so there’s plenty of upside in Paul tonight.
The price keeps rising on Eric Bledsoe ($8,000), but so does his play. The minutes monster has has an excellent start to the season, averaging 40.3 DraftKings points per game. He is taking a huge number of shots (17.4) which is the same number as Anthony Davis and more than Kobe Bryant! This should be a fast-paced game in Phoenix tonight, which plays right into the hands of Bledsoe.
I usually hate the term “must-own”, because no one is ever a “must-own”. However, Tyler Johnson ($3,300) is going to be pretty close tonight. It seems as if Beno Udrih will not suit up for the Heat tonight and with the trade to Mario Chalmers, Tyler Johnson is seeing a nice uptick in minutes. He was already playing 20+ minutes and took on 29 minutes against the Lakers on Tuesday in a similar situation. He doesn’t have a tremendous upside, but a 5-6x value is highly probable.
I hate targeting this tiny total MIA/UTA game, but Justise Winslow ($4,000) is another nice value. He’s logged 30+ minutes in four of the last five games which is difficult to find on this small slate and price range. Winslow is a dynamic player who can score points in many ways. This is not a good matchup and expect a slow pace, but Winslow could be a sneaky option at SF.
The Power Forward position appears to be the deepest. It’s clear that Blake Griffin ($9,400) and Chris Bosh ($7,200) are elite option. They both have 50 point upside. Bosh is in a much worse matchup, but costs $2,200 less.
Derrick Favors ($7,100) is interesting. He’s habitually under-owned and coming off two really big games. He’s a double-double threat every night and could also see an uptick tonight depending on the availability of his teammate Rudy Gobert. Gobert is currently questionable for this evening and if he sits out, should increase both the minutes and usage for Favors.
The biggest beneficiary of a Gobert day-off would be Trevor Booker ($3,000). Assuming he can earn 25+ minutes today, it will be difficult to find a min-priced player with as much upside as Booker. He played 28 minutes a few games ago against the Nuggets and posted a 13-9 line for 32.75 DraftKings points. He’s completely reliant on minutes, so stay tuned for an injury report.
Tyson Chandler ($5,400) is an interesting option at center tonight. Chandler benefits from a fast pace as he’s one of the more athletic seven footers in the league. Expect back and forth action tonight with the Clippers in town. The last time Chandler played the Clippers (ten days ago), he posted a massive 14-17 line for 38.25 DraftKings points. That’s been his best game so far this year.
That’s all folks! Injury reports will dictate a lot of plays so be sure to follow me on Twitter for more commentary closer to tip-off.