Note that today’s preview is in a Podcast that I recorded with ‘WiseTake’. The entire video is below along with my notes from the session. Keep in my that my notes are simply notes, so I apologize for any grammatical errors.
Jrue Holiday without Boogie! DeMarcus Cousins sitting out is going to open up a lot of opportunity for his teammates. I expect many to flock to Anthony Davis, so Jrue Holiday can be a little sneakier. Remember, in the last four games before Boogie joined the Pelicans, Jrue averaged 45.6 DK PPG. Basically a $1,500 discount since then. He should be able to fall back into that role tonight which could be a legit double-double threat with upside.
Today’s Projections | NBA Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar
I suppose we can’t forget about Cory Joseph. He’s played 33+ minutes in three straight thanks to the absence of Kyle Lowry. That marks four times this season that he’s played that many minutes. In those games he’s averaging 28.9 DK PPG. So while he laid an egg on Monday night, I’m willing to forgive and forget because there’s just going to be so much opportunity for usage with big minutes and the ball constantly in his hands.
Seth Curry is scorching post All-Star Break. He’s scored at least 35 DraftKings points in all three, which is significantly more than his 22.7 season average. The concern here, which is unusual for PGs is that his fantasy scoring is tied to his real point production. On the 24th, he scored 31 real points, but only had one assist, one rebound and one steal. Similar story on Monday with 29 real points, only three assists and one board. The lack of secondary category scoring is a big concern.
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Clearly a product of a small sample size, but Lou Williams is taking nearly four more 3PA per game since joining the Rockets. He’s launched 9.3 deep attempts since being traded. That could certainly be a product of a small sample, but also we know that the Rockets take threes as a historic rate so this shouldn’t be a surprise.
Courtney Lee is playing really well, averaging 32.4 DK PPG over his last three games and logging a lot of minutes. At least 35 minutes in four of last five with signficant upside. Scored 38.75 on Monday and 43 last Thursday. He’s risky, but he CAN be a five category player (okay…maybe four!).
Robert Covington filling it up for Philly. His price is reaching a breaking point, but hard to overlook what he’s capable of. He’s the rare combination of launching threes and getting steals. In the last three games he’s fired 27 threes and swiped 11 steals. Those are the two most valuable categories in all of DFS basketball. Averaging 44.75 DraftKings PPG in his last four and should be getting all the shots he can handle.
Just a quick note on Paul George. I don’t need to tell you that PG13 is an excellent player, but from an ownership perspective, I expect him to be very low owned. Gets ejected a few nights ago which will keep some casual fans away who he might have burnt. Plus in the DK lobby, the Spurs rank as the best defense against SFs. I’d argue this is the position that those ranks matter the least and PG13 dropped 27 real points on them in their only other meeting this season. Lowest price in weeks.
I do think Thabo Sefolosha is interesting. Again, another very high risk guy but the price is hard to ignore. Only $3,700 for a guy who’s now starting. That probably won’t increase his meeting two much, but a sneaky five category player. Scored 27.25 DK points in his mst recent start on Monday. Another such game would be incredibly valuable.
It’s the Dario Saric show right now. 31+ minutes in five straight games, a feat he only accomplished twice in the previous 54 games of the season. That’s leading to big time results for the Croatian. Averaging 19.6 PPG, 11 RPG and nearly four assists per game in the stretch. He’s the hottest player in the NBA in terms of the L7 days.
L7: 42.92 DK PPG
Season: 23.55
Has scored at least 38 DK points in seven straight.
Clippers are so interesting and hard to really figure out in terms of DFS because they’ve been so shorthanded. Finally they are healthy again which I think makes Blake Griffin the biggest beneficiary. He’s at his best when CP3 gets him the ball early and often. He was dynomite on Sunday in 42 minutes against Charlottes, scoring 43 real points and 69.5 DraftKings points. I just can’t overlook the massive over/under on this game (232.5) so let’s get as much exposure as possible.
Richaun Homes is interesting. Again, lack of depth in Philly frontcourt and if you watch this game, he is HIGH ENERGY on both ends of the court. He’s a willing rebounder and has a nose for blocks. He’s swatted 10 shots in the last three games.
Hassan Whiteside could be logging big time minutes, especially if Willie Reed doesn’t suit up. It’ll be all the minutes he can handle in a great matchup with Philly. No Nerlens and no Embiid is leaving the Sixers incredibly succeptible to interior scorers, so this is a situation that is begging for Whiteside to go off. He’s coming off a monster 19/19 game with the Heat only scoring 89 points. It’s nearly certain that the Heat will have a much higher implied total tonight. (110)
Love the price on Rudy Gobert. Coming off games of 43.5 and 54 DK points and he’s a walking double double. MAssive rebound upside, massive block upside. The Wolves have not been able to handle Gobert this season, with Rudy averaging 43 DK PPG in their two meetings this season.
Another volatile option in Willie Cauley-Stein. You know that he’s now being asked to do a lot without Boogie. He will have his growing pains, but he will also have big opportunity. Matchup with Brookly is about as good as it gets.