Welcome to “The Charts”, a series that will take a deep dive on a weekly basis into PGA salaries, Vegas odds, Expected Ownership, and last but certainly not least; value. In a world where the edges in daily fantasy are so slim, every informational advantage possible needs to be exploited aggressively without hesitation. This series is designed to help you find that edge.
Salary Vs. Vegas Odds
While I don’t suggest making decision based purely on Vegas Odds when it comes to golf, I think it’s a useful way to determine where you might find golfers with unexpected value. I am extremely pleased to say that this week one of my favorites over the past few months is one of the most obvious standouts on the Salary Vs. Vegas Odds chart we’ve seen all season. And guess who’s back!? Tony Finau shows up again as an obvious value when making the comparison between Vegas Odds and Salaries. As many of you already know Finau has been one of my favorite golfers to roster since the beginning of the season. It’s paid off well, and seeing him on the charts is the extra icing on the cake. Other standouts include Lee Westwood, and Paul Casey.
Salary Vs. Ownership Projections
For those of you who are unfamiliar with my work, each week I do ownership projections that have stood the test of time, and been proven accurate for over a season now. The ownership projections you see here are my initial projections and will be updated as the week goes on so be sure to follow me on twitter to find out where you can get all the most updated ownership information. I would definitely take this chart with a grain of salt this week and be sure to check my twitter for updates as The Masters draws nearer since my ownership projections this week are bound to change drastically based on the results of the Shell Houston Open and what the industry consensus becomes. Early on the two obvious standouts for potential low ownership to me are Jason Day and Justin Thomas. Both of these golfers are world class and have had some inconsistencies over the last couple months. That being said Day is one of the best golfers in the world and Justin Thomas won back-to-back tournaments no more than a few months ago. They both make great GPP options and either one of them could find themselves wearing a green jacket on Sunday.
Salary Vs. OWGR
Do you wonder how quickly the salaries are adjusted as a result of player’s performance? Ever wonder if there are players who’s prices don’t reflect their overall skill? These are questions you should be asking every week if you are serious about DFS, and now you can get the answer in one easy chart. The Salary Vs. Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) chart is designed to give you a feel for which players are over or underpriced compared to their sheer talent. The standout on this chart couldn’t be more obvious in Alexander Noren. Currently ranked 10th in the world Noren finds himself only $7,500 in price. He has nearly 25 golfers higher in price than him which gives Noren a serious discount. Noren won a whopping four times on the Euro tour last season and finished in the top 15 in half of all the tournaments he started! Sign me up for that discount.
The Masters Research Spreadsheet
Note that this spreadsheet is FREE each week for Pro Members. If you are not a Pro Member, use code “BRAD” for 15% off:
Do you want to see a different set of charts? Let me know if there is information you want to see and how you want to see it, I’m always looking for new ways to analyze information. Get more updates, analysis, and answers to all your questions by following me on twitter.