A small slate of action, but some very interesting plays on the board. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.
Take a look at the Minnesota Twins today who have won six straight road games and have scored the 4th most runs in the league in the L7. The Twins have hit lefties well this season and will get Drew Smyly today. Smyly only has 9.2 IP since May, but he owns the 4th worst xFIP on this slate in the L30 and has surrendered 13 hits over those innings so far.
Let’s start with the top value according to our Hitter Value Chart. That honor goes to Eduardo Escobar ($2,800). His tiny price tag has not caught up to his big time production as of late. Escobar is averaging 15.80 DK points per game in the L7 which would be a 5.6x today’s salary. Escobar is hitting .381 with three homers in that same span. He’s going to get Drew Smyly today who they have faced each other 4 times. Escobar has 2 hits including a HR in that small sample.
We talked about him a few days ago, but I am going back to Joey Votto ($4,800). Votto’s price is reasonable since he is facing Zack Greinke today. The thing is, Votto has really good career numbers off Greinke. He is hitting .444 (12-27) with three longballs in his career. Of course Votto is scorching (again), hitting .333 in the L14 and gets a big boost from playing at home. Great American Ball Park surrenders 24% more HRs to LHB than the league average.
A fly-under-the-radar type play is certainly Daniel Murphy ($3,800). Murphy has been hitting a solid .300 in the L14 and he loves facing Aaron Harang. Murphy is a career .346 hitter (9-26) off Harang. Murphy would be a nice, cheap way to get exposure to the hottest hitting team in baseball.