Almost a full slate of games today, we have 24 teams in action! The best pitcher has the best matchup. Find out who! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.
We were all over Derek Holland yesterday because of the matchup, and the same goes for Chris Archer ($12,300) today. Archer gets the Orioles who own the highest K% in the last week. Archer is obviously a much superior pitcher compared to Holland, so don’t overthink this one. Archer own’s the slates best xFIP in the L30 and also the highest K/9 in the same span. This is truly a situation of the best pitcher in the best situation. Pay up and move on.
Some small concerns with Dallas Keuchel ($12,100) today, mostly just the fact that he’s not Chris Archer. Keuchel has been outstanding as of late, but the Mariners are probably swinging it the best they have all season long. They are in the top half of the league vs. LHP this season, but have been scorching at the dish recently. They own the league’s 5th best wOBA in the L7 and their strikeout rate is down to 18% (usually around 25%). They will get a big boost going from Safeco Field to Minute Maid in Houston. I think Keuchel is only deployable in GPPs since there is some inherent risk here.
One of the more interesting plays comes in the form of Tyson Ross ($9,700). A very solid, consistent performer in the last 10 games, averaging 17.8 DK points in that span. He will be a solid boost from pitching at Petco today. Many don’t realize how well Ross has pitched, sporting a 2.96 xFIP (2nd best behind Archer) and 9.49 K/9 (3rd best on the slate) over the course of the L30.
This could blow up in my face, but it’s justifiable to roster Gio Gonzalez ($7,200) in GPPs today. He has has three really poor outings in a row, but he is flashing some good signs. He owns a 9.30 K/9 in the L30 which is 3rd best on this slate. The matchup with the Cardinals is also intriguing. Despite their great record, the Cardinals have really struggled vs. LHP this season. They own the 4th worst BA and the 6th highest strikeout rate vs. southpaws.
For the price, it’s hard to look past Kyle Hendricks ($6,700). He’s been worth the price of admission in four of his last five starts. His impressive 9.11 K/9 will come in handy vs. the Cincinnati Reds. The Cubs are absolutely rolling right now, so it’s not surprise they are a decent favorite in this game.