Smaller slate of game today with some high priced options. Let’s sort through the best of the best. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.
There are four pitchers who cost more than $10,000 on this slate and while I like David Price, my favorite has to be Dallas Keuchel ($11,400). Outside of his last start against the Rangers, he has had a dominating stretch of games. He’s scored no less than 23 DK points in any of his L4 including a nice 23.3 point performance against the Angels, two starts ago. The Angels, have frankly, been miserable. One of the worst hitting teams all season long and they continue to struggle in the short term. They also own the 4th worst wOBA vs. LHP this season. I am hoping that many will pass on Keuchel will the other studs on the board as well as his poor outing last time out. I am buying low.
There are only five pitchers on this slate with 10+ K/9 in the L30. They are Archer, Price, Keuchel, Adam Warren (?!) and Gio Gonzalez ($9,600). Gio fired twelve strikeouts in his last start and 26 over his L3. The matchup is exciting at well. The Orioles have been pathetic versus LHP this season, owning the 4th highest K% and ranking 25th in wOBA this season.
John Lamb ($6,800) continues to impress. He is still sporting a 9.47 K/9 in the L30 and will face the Cardinals who have the 10th highest K rate this week. Lamb faced this STL team two starts ago, racking up 21.9 DK points. That game was played in CIN, so a transition to STL should provide a significant boost to Lamb’s value.
The true value play and the man who tops our Pitcher Value Chart is Erik Johnson ($4,500). It’s a small sample zie of only 17 IP this season, but he’s returned his owners no less than 12.1 DK points. His average game of 14.2 points would return 3.1x value based on his salary today, the highest value on the board. The Tigers have fallen off the face of the earth. They haven’t had a winning month since April (!!) are are just playing out the rest of the season until they can play golf! Comerica Park is a pitcher friendly park, so Johnson could see some success here today.