This slate boasts a ton of great name and value pitching options. In an effort to discuss any many players as possible, I will only point out the ones who I have significant feels on either way. That means if I expect a player to have an average day by their standards, I will skip over them. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.
I feel that Corey Kluber ($10,600) offers the best GPP option on the slate. We’ve seen his outstanding performances this season and know he has massive strikeout ability. While he hasn’t show that ability over his last few starts, his price has dropped to a very reasonable point. His matchup with the Twins is what is really exciting. The Twins own the 5th worst wOBA in L7 and a 23.9% K% which would rank them 5th worst in that span. Kluber should be overlooked and under-owned because of recent performance, but all the factors are in his favor today.
Dollar-for-dollar, Chris Archer ($12,300) probably has the highest potential to be the leading scorer today. Yes, he faces the Mets who have been one of the better swinging teams in the L14, but other studs like Max Scherzer and Jake Arrieta are also in difficult match-ups. While the Mets have been doing damage, they’ve also struck out a ton. An incredible 24.2% K% in the L7 which is the 3rd worst in the entire league. Archer owns the slate’s highest K/9 over the course of the L30 with a staggering 11K/9.
Pump the brakes on Jose Quintana ($8,400) today. I love this guy as of late and he actually boasts the same xFIP as Max Scherzer in the L30 (4th best). Unfortunately, I don’t make a happen of targeting the Royals, especially with a LHP. The Royals swing the bats well vs. LHP and simply don’t strike out. They limit the scoring potential for opposing starters.
I love love love Patrick Corbin ($7,100) today. Outside of his bad start vs. Washington in his last time out, he has been very solid on the year. His advanced metrics have been staggering as he owns the 6th best xFIP on the slate and a ridiculous 9.99 K/9 in the L30 which is more than King Felix, Arrieta, Tanaka, Kluber and just about everyone else on this slate. The match-up really could not be better as he takes on the Cincinnati Reds who own the leagues worst wOBA in the L7 to go along with a big 24% K% number. I will have a ton of exposure to Corbin today.
If you’re looking for value, you might just have to settle on Justin Verlander today ($6,300). Obvious struggles this season but has at least shown some signs of life as of late. Lasted 8 innings against the Red Sox three starts ago and that’s who he faces again today. The Red Sox tout the league’s 3rd worst wOBA in the L7. I like that JV is back to “workhorse-like” pitch counts. Has thrown 106+ pitches in each of his last three, so it shouldn’t be a quick hook at any point today.