Note: I am in the process of moving, so creating videos will be difficult over the next few days. I will create text posts instead with my picks for each night. I am hoping to get back to videos shortly. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.
It’s clear that Matt Harvey ($11,000) has struggled at times this season and, for the most part, has been underwhelming fantasy-wise. He comes into today’s games with the largest price tag on the slate, but that’s not going to stop me from rostering him today. The match-up is just too good. The Marlins are dead last in wOBA in the L14 and have scored the fewest runs in that span. Harvey has pitched better as of late boasting 29.7 DK points in his last outing. I am not all in Harvey, but I love his upside and think the situation is too good to pass up.
It’s hard to pass up on Madison Bumgarner ($10,600) today. He has been average by his own standards in the L30, but the matchup with the Braves is just awesome. They are 28th in wOBA in the L14 and also 28th vs. LHP this season. Bumgarner has been awesome in great match-ups this season so I expect that to continue tonight.
I will pass on Scott Kazmir ($9,300) today. He’s been really good recently, but something really scares me about the Rangers. They own the 9th best wOBA in the L14 and this is a team with quick strike ability. They are very streaky and they are on the hot side of the streak right now. I will find a play somewhere else.
Gio Gonzalez ($7,800) gets a price drop from $8,700 today and I am interested in buying him. He’s averaging 19.5 DK points a game in his L6 and gets ARI today who owns the highest K% (25.9) across the entire league in the L14. The DBacks do have some players who hit LHP well, but they have fallen down those ranks as well in the last month. I also like that this game is in WAS as opposed to ARI.
His counterpart, Rubby De La Rosa ($7,200) is one of my favorite GPP options on the board. He has been inconsistent but has shown massive upside, going for 30.4 DK points two starts ago. He certainly has a ton of risk, but also the highest upside of anyone in this price range. The Nationals have been struggling mightily since the ASB and sport the 3rd highest K% (23.7) on this slate.
If you’re looking for a value play, look no further than David Holmberg ($4,400). He passed the eye test for me in his first career start, returning an impressive 16.7 DK points at a $4,300 price point. His second start will come against the Cardinals who are in the bottom third of wOBA in L14 and have scored the 5th fewest runs in that span. He doesn’t need much to pay for himself, so you’d be very pleased with 10-14 points here.