There are only three pitchers on this slate who have more than 10Ks per nine innings this season. They are Jake Arrieta, (our friend) Michael Pineda and Robbie Ray. It’s Ray that leads the slate in this category with a whopping 11.78 K/9 in his three starts this year. He’s fired back-to-back solid outings with 29.6 and 27.3 DK points in his last two starts with the latter coming against the LA Dodgers. That Dodgers team will be his opponent again today with a quick turnaround from whiffing ten times against Ray just five days ago. Plenty of concerns with Ray including that this game is at hitter friendly Chase Field but the Dodgers have been miserable against LHP this season and he’s pitching too well with too many K’s to overlook.
If you need some value, consider Lance Lynn. Remember that he missed the entire 2016 campaign after undergoing Tommy John Surgery. It’s not shocking that he started slow in his first two starts, getting knocked around a bit (in his defense it was against CHC and WAS) but was rather impressive five days ago against Pittsburgh. Lynn scattered three hits over seven innings and returned his owners 26.2 DraftKings points. Again, I don’t love this matchup with the potent Milwaukee offense, but they are striking out at an incredible 26.9% this season, the second worth rate in the league.
This is a fairly weak pitching slate in my opinion, so this sets up for plenty of stack options today. A really interesting situation
The Mets present an interesting option against Gio Gonzalez. If there’s anything we know about Gio, it’s that he’s just as likely to give up ten runs as he is to throw a shutout. One of the more volatile pitchers in the league will make his first road start of the season against the Mets who will certainly be up to the challenge. The Mets own the league’s third best wOBA against LHP this season. Yoenis Cespedes is technically day-to-day so I suppose there’s a chance he plays today, but probably unlikely. If he does sit, that would certainly make the lineup less potent but should open up potential value.
Speaking of volatile, which version of Steven Wright are we going to get today? In his last outing, he was solid, turning in six innings with only one earned run and notched the win. However, in the outing prior, he was SHELLED for eight hits, eight runs and four dingers in only 1.1 IP. That outing was against the Baltimore Orioles who…Wright will have to face again today.