We have a pair of slates today, 8 games in the morning and 6 in the afternoon. For the morning slate, I’m looking to Jeff Samardzija at $10,900 on DraftKings. Jeff has been really good this season, despite a 2-7 record. In 6 of his last 7 starts, he has had at least 8Ks. This Twins team strikes out a lot, and Jeff gets to pitch in massive AT&T Park. For my SP2 I’m going to pay down to Jeff Hoffman at $6,700. Hoffman’s 3 starts this season, he has gotten 21.2, 30 and 34 fantasy points. He has a 33K% this season, so the upside is high in a tough matchup vs. the Cubs. It’s a GPP play only.
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There aren’t too many glorious spots here to stack, but one that is in a nice spot are the Houston Astros, at home, taking on Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco has reverse splits, struggling to righties, and that plays in the Astros hands. Correa, Springer and Altuve are priced up, but taking Hoffman allows me to afford the big boys. Don’t avoid the lefties either, Reddick, Beltran, McCann and Gonzalez, Nolasco is bad at baseball. A low owned stack in the morning is the Miami Marlins. They have been on a roll of late, since putting Stanton in the 2nd spot in the batting order. They have a ton of pop in Stanton, Ozuna and Moore, with some stolen base upside in Dee Gordon and Yelich. Trevor Williams struggles more to the right handed bats, but Yelich and Gordon are still in play.
The main slate has 6 games, with quite a few pitching options. Chris Sale is on the slate, and in play, but I’m going to Luis Severino vs. Baltimore. Severino has the K upside with at least 7 in his last 4 starts. Hopefully Machado doesn’t play. The Orioles don’t have many left handed bats in the lineup, so we won’t worry too much about the short porch in right field. Arieal Miranda is boom or bust. I’m willing to take the risk, but his night could be over in the first inning. He has had some tough recent match ups in Coors Field and in Washington, but the his other starts have been pretty good. The K’s are either there or not, we have seen up to 9, but also only 1. GPPs only.
Tough slate for the bats, but Junior Guerra is in Arizona. It is super hot in Arizona, and for some reason they open the roof up to embrace the 100 degree weather. The ball will fly and Guerra has been giving it up to righties. He also struggles with command, and when the DBacks get on base, they run. They have a crazy steal rate and are on pace to break the record for stealing 3rd base. My preferred plays are Lamb, Goldy, Perlta, Owings and Drury. The Yankees take on Chris Tilman in Yankees Stadium. I’m looking to the Bronx Bombers to put a pounding on Tilman, who struggles vs. the left handed bats. Gardner, Didi, Headley and Hicks are the lefties in the lineup. I also like Judge (how can you not) and Gary Sanchez has tremendous upside for the catcher position.