Carlos Carrasco gets to face a bad Toronto Blue Jays team that strikes out at 22.8% of the time. Terrible wRC+, team wOBA, and nobody in this lineup is that scary. Sure Morales or Bautista could go yard, but the best hitter in their lineup is Kevin Pillar. 8.49 K/9 is a bit low but this Blue Jays team is nothing special. Carrasco had a fever his last start and only threw 91 pitches, so he should be fresh to go deep in this one.
Drew Pomeranz gets a strikeout heavy Brewers team today. Striking out at striking out at 25.3%, this team is boom or bust. Similar to Pomeranz with an 11.33 K/9, but struggles to keep the ball in the yard at times. There are other options in this price range like Ivan Nova and Charlie Morton. Nova doesn’t have a good K% but he will go deep into games. Morton does have the strikeout upside, but the Braves don’t strike out that much.
Mike Pelfrey has 4 strikeouts this year in 14.1 innings pitched. He doesn’t miss bats at all, and this Twins team has some upside. Sano, Dozier (scheduled to start after the ankle injury), Rosario and others are in a good spot today. They should go fairly low owned today, and with Max Scherzer and Carlos Carrasco on the
slate, these guys are affordable. The White Sox on the other side of the diamond are also in play too, facing a lefty.
Yankees in Cincinnati is yet another good spot for both teams. I’ll lean to the Yankees in this one, with Judge and Castro getting yesterday off, and Sanchez only pinch hitting in the 18 inning game in Wrigley. The Yankees get to face Tim Adleman, who has been decent this year, but the Yankees .357 wOBA vs. righties is MLB’s best. It is the usual bats in Judge, Sanchez, Castro and Holiday.