Rajon Rondo ($9,000) could be the key to a GPP win this evening. He’s coming off a dud of a game against GSW, but in his defense, he only played 25 minutes before this game was out of hand. Many will avoid Rondo based on that performance plus the studs on the slate, but we get a nice little discount on him tonight. This game has the highest O/U on the slate at a healthy 213.5. Expect Rondo to bounce-back and be under-owned. A nice combination. He’s even more valuable if Boogie sits out again.
Reggie Jackson ($7,000) makes for an interesting GPP tonight. He’s the type of player who can have a massive night in different ways. He’s capable of being a big-time scorer, averaging nearly 20 PPG this season but he also fills up the secondary stats. He’s a sneaky triple-double threat on most nights. For example, he had a terrible game against Brooklyn in his last time out, but posted an 8-9-6 line. His ability to fill it up should come in handy against the porous Rockets defense. Only three teams are giving up more points to opposing PGs than the Rockets.
The shooting guard position comes with two very nice plays, both members of the Miami Heat. Luol Deng has already been ruled out for tonight and Chris Bosh is questionable after missing shoot-around. That would leave Dwyane Wade ($6,700) and Gerald Green ($4,000) to shoulder the offensive load for the Heat tonight. Wade has been brilliant at times this season and should benefit from two full days of rest prior to this home game. Green earned the start for Deng on Friday night and stuffed the stat sheet with 25 points on 8-14 shooting. He is very dependent on scoring real points, but he wouldn’t need much to hit value tonight.
The price on Kevin Durant ($9,900) is almost criminal. What does this guy need to do to break $10K?! He’s now scored 52+ in five of seven games and is coming off a massive 34-13-5-3 game fro 65.75 DraftKings points. Both teams will benefit from a 211.5 line tonight and Durant is in a great position to continue this impressive run.
Thabo Sefolosha ($4,200) will earn the starting nod for the Hawks tonight. Thabo has been solid for Atlanta in his return from a broken leg, earning 19.9 DraftKings points per game. He’s an incredibly long player who can earn points in a variety of ways. He’s a capable three point shooter, is pulling in nearly 5 RPG and has four steals and four blocks over his last three games. The Hawks are a big beneficiary of this matchup. ATL’s average line is only 202, and tonight’s total is listed at 211.5.
There’s a lot of question-marks at the PF position tonight, but Blake Griffin ($9,100) is not one of them. Blake continues to post monster lines, scoring 42+ in three of his last four and posting a massive 63.5 DraftKings point game just five days ago. Blake must love home-cookin’ because he’s averaging 27.3 PPG at home this year versus 21.2 on the road and nearly a full rebound better per game at the Staples Center. He’s the chalk play at the position, but that doesn’t make it wrong.
The always under-owned Tim Duncan ($6,000) has been on quite the run recently. He’s posted 40+ DraftKings point games in three of his last six, including a big 10-18 line from Saturday night. He’s a bit riskier than he’s been in the past but this game features a 4 point spread, suggesting that it should be close all the way to the finish. Expect Duncan to log a full set of minutes against the leagues worst defense versus centers.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as injuries and news break closer to tip-off. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.