The dreaded “to play or not to play” question for Steph Curry ($10,700) continues yet again tonight. Curry is clearly the league’s MVP to this point and has been the fantasy darling to start the year. Averaging a ridiculous 55.4 DraftKings points per game should make him a lock for cash games, but a little scary for GPPs. Curry is going to need 64.2 DraftKings points to hit the full 6x value mark and the Warriors are listed as massive 17 point favorites. We’ve seen the Warriors be very cautious with their players in blowouts dating back to last season, so there is definitely concern that Curry doesn’t play much or at all in the fourth quarter if this game is out of hand. The Warriors have really only “blown out” one team this year which was 11/2 against the Grizzlies. Curry was phenomenal in 28 minutes, scoring 46.76 DraftKings points, but didn’t come close to hitting value. I will pass on Curry today and wait for a better situation.
Despite a poor showing versus OKC in his last game, John Wall ($8,900) has been outstanding. He’s scored at least 39.25 DraftKings points in every other game, while cracking 50 on two occasions. Wall has always been a better player at home, which is he today and injuries could provide Wall an even bigger boost. Teammate Bradley Beal is highly questionable for this game, and hasn’t practiced all week. Beal’s usage would have to fall onto the shoulder of Wall giving him ample opportunity to score fantasy points. On the defensive end, Victor Oladipo has already been ruled out for the Magic today. Oladipo’s length and defensive prowess missing from this game should decrease the resistance that Wall and his teammates have to deal with.
Brandon Knight ($7,100) is going to be a popular play and for good reason. Knight is coming off a massive 48 DraftKings point performance and now leads the Suns in shot attempts with over 17 per game. He has been a lock to hit 5x value all season and now has shown how much upside he can offer. A stellar matchup with DEN and the highest O/U on the board. Knight will be heavily owned, but I don’t think that’s incorrect.
The highly volatile Will Barton ($4,300) is certainly in play tonight. Here are Barton’s last four games: 42, 16.25, 9.5 and 38.75. As you can see, you are not getting any level of confidence when you roster Barton, but he is pure upside. As mentioned above, this is a great O/U and his performance last night could drive his minutes up for this evening. Barton is the type of player you want to ride when he has the hot hand and that time is now!
Keep an eye on the Spurs injury report. Both Kawhi Leonard and Manu Ginobili are currently questionable for this game. Facing the Sixers may be the perfect time to let these guys rest and not force them back into the lineup. If either (or both) of them are out, I expect Danny Green ($4,100) to be the biggest beneficiary. Green is already seeing minutes (no less than 27 in any game this season), but would become much more involved in the offense with someone having to take over Kawhi and Manu’s shot attempts. Green would become one of the better values on the board but we may not know until closer to tip-off. Stay tuned.
Tobias Harris ($5,900) is logging massive minutes for the Magic and the injury to Oladipo is opening up ample opportunity for him. He’s earned double digit rebounds in three straight games and has piled on another 30 points in the last two. Harris is coming off a 49.75 DraftKings point performance last night against a very good UTA team. He will be in a much better matchup against the Wizards tonight and only needing 35.4 DK points to reach full value.
Bojan Bogdanovic ($3,800) makes for a really interesting option tonight. Bojan has been heavily invloved in the Nets offense the last three games, launching 43 shots in that span. He’s returned his fantasy owners 19.25, 38.25 and 18.75 DraftKings points in that span. He’s in a really unique spot tonight, as he may be guaranteed a ton of playing time whether this is a blowout or not with GSW. Bojan is earning 30+ minutes a game in the last two which is a beautiful sign, but he’s still coming off the bench. If this is a blowout, Bojan may see extended run anyway since he’s technically part of the second unit. He appears to be a good guarantee of minutes at a really nice price point.
The Power Forward position is very thin, but Terrence Jones ($5,700) is worth a look. The big man logged 23 points and 7 rebounds in only 21 minutes last night for the Rockets. Jones has been banged up so we’ve yet to see how the Rockets plan to use Jones alongside their other pieces, but I think Jones will benefit from the absence of Dwight Howard tonight. I expect him to see an small uptick in minutes and if he can keep anything close to this level of production, he would be well worth the price.
I don’t usually like guys who are relegated to the second unit, but Dwight Powell ($4,700) is playing too good to overlook right now. A 10-12 double double last night for Powell led to 31.5 DraftKings points which means he’s now averaging 24.7 DraftKings points per game this season. He’s now scored at least 27 DK points in four of his last six games despite not playing many minutes. He comes with some built-in risk since he doesn’t play much, but the results have been eye-popping.
Have you seen what Zaza Pachulia ($5,600) has done this season? He’s been an excellent addition to this Mavs team and has averaged 28.6 DraftKings points per game. His recent numbers are even better, averaging 32.55 DK points over his last six games. I love guys with built in floors, which is what Zaza has, hauling in double digit rebounds in six of nine games this season. He’s a sneaky double-double threat against the Howard-less Rockets tonight who may opt to go small.
Brook Lopez ($6,900) is a total liability on the defensive end, but he’s a solid offensive player for the Nets and that’s all that really matters in fantasy. Lopez has poured in 19.3 PPG this season and has added double digit rebounds in four of his last five. It’s also worth noting that he’s been swatting a ton of shots including 15 blocks in the last four games. Lopez is a reasonably priced center with 40+ point upside which he’s done three times in the last five games.
That’s all folks! A nice medium-sized slate of games on DraftKings today. Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter for more discussion as news and injuries break! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring. Good luck!