It’s worth pointing out that Mike Conley ($6,300) is on an incredible run for the Grizzlies right now. He’s scored 20+ in three straight games and has returned his owners 36, 46.5 and 43.75 DraftKings points in those games. It’s almost like a switch flipped for Conley who only averaged 9.3 FGAs in the first six games of the season but has averaged 15.6 FGAs per game over the last seven. That’s a remarkable difference as he is being asked to carry this offense. His value goes even higher if Zach Randolph misses his second straight game with a knee injury.
Matthew Dellavedova ($4,100) will be a popular PG today. He will earn all the minutes he can handle with Mo Williams, Kyrie Irving and Iman Shumpert all out for the Cavs today. Delly played 39 minutes for Williams on Thursday night, posting a 7-13 line and earning his owners 26.75 DraftKings points. There is certainly a high probability that Dellavedova can reach 6x value today. He’s earning 0.7 DraftKings point per minute this season, so even 35 minutes of action should be enough for him to hit 24.5 DraftKings points.
I am looking all value at SG today. JR Smith ($4,400) is in a very similar boat as Dellavedova. There simply aren’t enough bodies around to take him off the court and he’s going to log big minutes for the Cavs. His upside is just a bit higher than Delly’s since he can get hot at any moment and certainly worth a look on this small slate as a GPP pivot from Dellevadova.
After a hot start to the season, Nik Stauskas ($3,800) hit a rough patch. Fortunately, his price bottomed out and it looks like he’s starting to find his stroke again. He’s EXTREMELY volatile but will earn enough minutes and take enough shots to keep him relevant. He stroked 3 of his 8 three point attempts last night and he’s the type of guy who can rattle off seven in a row at any time. He only needs 22.8 DraftKings points for 6x value, a feat he’s accomplished in 5 of 10.
Paul George ($9,700) is often going over-looked at the SF position that usually features the likes of LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, Kevin Durant, etc. However, it’s George who has been one of the most productive at the position. He’s averaging 51.3 DraftKings points over the last eight games and has put up 60+ in two of his last seven. His floor is high, his upside is tremendous and now he gets the Bucks who rank dead last against the position. Fire up Paul George!
Every Cav is going to get a boost with Mo Williams sidelined. There’s 12 shots a game up for grabs and I certainly don’t expect Dellevadova to take them all. Kevin Love ($8,100) has been a tremendous scoring option for Cleveland, averaging nearly 18 PPG and hauling in 12 rebounds to boot. He has featured some massive double-doubles this season including a 22-15 line on Friday night against Milwaukee. The matchup with Atlanta is excellent as the Hawks have been gashed under the basket all season. With Love’s ability to step out and shoot the three, he adds an extra dimension that will be difficult for Atlanta to contain.
Nerlens Noel ($6,400) has dropped to the lowest price he’s been all season. The Sixers are struggling to find their rhythm and a rotation that works, but Nerlens will still see plenty of court time. He’s a walking double-double who can sprinkle in a few steals and blocks. I am willing to buy low on Nerlens who now gets to play with a chip on his shoulder, being asked to come off the bench last night.
If Zach Randolph sits again, expect Marc Gasol ($7,000) to be a popular play. He posted a 16-11-11 triple double in the absence of Randolph last night. Gasol has always been a solid fantasy scorer, but with limited upside. That upside might be much higher when he’s the only big to roam the paint. Keep an eye on the Grizzlies injury report before rostering Gasol.
That’s all folks! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as injuries and news break closer to tip-off. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.