We need to point out how ridiculous Rajon Rondo ($8,500) has been. Three triple-doubles in four games thanks to the massive amount of minutes he’s playing. Rondo has only sat down for 8 combined minutes in the last four games. With the injury to Darren Collison, he is being asked to should the entire load for the Kings for the time being. Collison has been practicing a bit, but his status for Sunday is highly questionable. If he doesn’t suit up, Rondo should once again see massive minutes in a game with the second highest O/U on the slate. His price has skyrocketed, but he will “only” need 51 DraftKings points for 6x value today, a feat he has accomplished with each during this stretch.
This is the final game of a grueling 6-game road trip for the Detroit Pistons as they are in LA for the second straight day, this time taking on the Lakers. I am taking a hard look at Reggie Jackson ($7,600) who has taken no less than 15 shots in any of the last seven games. Jackson has been solid this season, averaging 36.6 DraftKings points per game this season which would get him very close to 5x value today. However, there’s more upside in Jackson today, facing the miserable Lakers who rank in the bottom third of the league versus opposing PGs.
The popular value play will be Dennis Schroder ($4,300). The Hawks solid backup will have the opportunity to start today with Jeff Teague banged up. While it’s not a good matchup against the Jazz, Schroder has been excellent when given the chance to play and averages 1 DraftKings point per minute this season. He’s not afraid to shoot the ball in limited run, taking double digit shots in six of his last seven games. He should see an additional bump in minutes today, getting him closer to the 30 mark which should be plenty of time for him to hit value at this price.
The Trail Blazers are banged up right now, but expect CJ McCollum ($6,500) to provide some stability. His price has stabalized after a hot start to the season and it’s a great sign moving forward that CJ is not afraid to fire the rock. He hasn’t taken less than 13 shots in any game this season, but is usually in the high teens. He’s a bit volatile, but when he gets hot he can light up the scoresheet in a hurry.
Dion Waiters ($4,400) has earned additional minutes for the Thunder in the absence of Kevin Durant. He’s now scored 31, 30 and 21.25 DraftKings points in the games since KD went down. His fantasy output is very closely tied to his real scoring, but this game has the highest O/U on the slate and his price is still very reasonable if he’s going to close in on 30 minutes.
Coming off the worst game of his season, Marcus Morris ($6,500) looks like a buy low candidate. His ownership will probably take a hit, but I don’t expect Morris to go 2-10 from the field and only score 6 points too often. He is averaging 15.4 PPG and is contributing to many categories. He now has a chance to bounce back against the Lakers who have been walked all over by every team. You know Morris will see 35+ minutes and take 12+ shots which is looking nice at his predicted low ownership.
There’s not too much upside here, but Thabo Sefolosha ($3,300) has been almost guaranteed to hit 6x value all season. He has reached 6x value in seven of the eight games he’s played this season. It won’t return a ton of fantasy points, but he’s plug and play at a very thin position. He could see a few extra minutes with the absence of Jeff Teague, depending on how the Hawks decide to rotate their lineup.
It’s worth noting that DeMarcus Cousins ($10,200) is now listed as a power forward on DraftKings. That impacts the OPRK on DraftKings, but you should conitnue to take that with a grain of salt. Boogie is the premium option at PF (or any position that he plays) with plenty of upside. He’s scored 73 points and hauled in 22 rebounds in the last two games. This game has the second highest total on the slate.
Ed Davis ($4,300) is jumping off my projections today. It’s early in the season, so they aren’t the best projections at the moment, but Davis has played very well in small usage this season. Only playing 36 minutes in the last two has resulted in 52.5 DraftKings points. He’s a sneaky double-double threat in points and rebounds and could continue to see an uptick in minutes with the injury to Meyers Leonard. Davis has scored 20+ DraftKings points in six of ten games this season, making him an interesting value play at PF.
I am plugging Andre Drummond ($9,700) into every lineup, especially with Cousins being moved to PF. There’s no reason to overthink this. Drummond has been a monster in every aspect this season. He’s recorded a double-double in every game this season and is now averaging a ridiculous 18.7 PPG and hauling in 19.2 RPG. There is literally no one on the Lakers that could pose any threat to Drummond today.
Do you like risk? If so, how about Jeff Withey ($3,000). The min-priced center piled on 22.75 DraftKings points Friday night versus Orlando. The Jazz have been trying many different combinations to fill the void left by an injured Rudy Gobert, and Withey might be the hot hand for tonight’s game. His minutes are in no way guaranteed, but he was impressive in just 24 minutes of action against the Magic. Between Withey and Trevor Booker, you’d suspect one of them to be a big beneficiary of Gobert’s minutes and usage, but both come with massive risk.
That’s all folks! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter for more analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.