Chris Paul ($8,800) makes for an interesting play at Point Guard tonight. He was hobbled by a groin injury on Monday night, but still logged 33 minutes against a tough Memphis defense. With some extra time to rest, you’d expect Paul to play his usual allotment tonight in a much better matchup against the Mavericks in a game with the highest O/U on the slate. This has been the most volatile season fantasy-wise for Paul in recent memory, but has still scored 42+ DraftKings points in have of his games this season. I love buying low on this price, which is by far the lowest he’s been all season. He comes with some risk, but I imagine will be avoided by most on this large slate.
There is probably no PG more overlooked than Jeff Teague ($6,900). The Hawks point man is as consistent as they come, scoring no less than 34 DraftKings points in any of his last six games. He has picked up his scoring pace, averaging 18.7 PPG which would be the best rate of his career. He’s providing a ton of opportunity, launching at least 16 shots in 5 of his last 6 games. This game is also tied for the highest O/U on the board and no one has given up more DraftKings points to opposing PGs than the New Orleans Pelicans.
Expect additional minutes tonight for Ish Smith ($4,800) who has already been earning 31.3 MPG in the last three. Jrue Holiday will sit this one out, which means Smith should get plenty of run against the Hawks. Smith has proved valuable, averaging 36.1 DraftKings points in his last three games. With Smith only needing 28.8 DraftKings points to reach 6x value, he is certainly a threat to achieve and exceed that number.
The value play of the position will be Cory Joseph ($3,300). He’s seeing plenty of minutes for the Raptors, but this play hinges on the health of Demarre Carroll. With Carroll sitting last night, CJ posted a 12-8-6 line, good for 33.5 DraftKings points. Keep an eye on Carroll’s status for tonight, as Joseph’s usage should rise if Carroll is sidelined.
I am waiting on the Pelicans’ injury report, but Eric Gordon ($6,000) could be in line for a big night. Anthony Davis left last night’s game with a right hip contusion and is questionable for tonight. Gordon is already shouldering a large portion of the Pelicans’ offense, scoring 17.7 PPG. If AD has to sit this game out, I expect the offense to run through Gordon. The minutes-monster has scored 32.5, 36.75 and 30 DraftKings points in his last three with plenty more upside if he’s the #1 option tonight.
Nick Young ($3,300) needs to be on your radar as well. It looks like Kobe will sit out again tonight, although we are waiting for official word. With The Black Mamba sitting last night, Young took on 26 minutes and earned 28.5 DraftKings points. Swaggy P’s fantasy value is tied to his scoring, but he’s never seen a shot he hasn’t liked. He’s a volatile player who can get hot in a moment’s notice and only needs 19.8 DraftKings points for full value.
Two sub-par games in a row for Giannis Antetokounmpo ($7,400) will drive his ownership down, but this feels like an opportunity to buy. He’s still a dynamic player who can score you fantasy points in a million ways. He’s earning plenty of shots for the Bucks and gets a good matchup with DEN tonight. This 198.5 line is one of the highest of the season for the Bucks, giving them all a nice boost. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Giannis’ two worst games this season have been the games that Jabari Parker has seen the most time. They looked a bit out of whack on offense as they work through the growing pains. However, Parker isn’t playing tonight, so Giannis is in a really nice spot to take on additional usage and return a much larger game.
It’s really hard to avoid Blake Griffin ($9,500) again, especially if Anthony Davis doesn’t play. He needs 57 DraftKings points for full 6x value, but his floor has been massive this season, scoring no less than 41 DraftKings points in any game this season. He went out and dropped 46.5 points on MEM on Monday, now travels to DAL who has given up the 2nd most points to opposing PFs and this game has a massive O/U. All that being said, he got a $100 discount. Not a huge difference, but a nice bonus for those licking their chops to get Blake.
Nerlens Noel has already been ruled out for tonight’s game which should boost the value of Richaun Holmes ($3,200). Holmes started for Noel on Monday night and played admirably. He posted 11 points, three rebounds and swatted two spots. He should be in line for another 25+ minutes tonight, only needing 19.2 DraftKings points for 6x value.
The matchup of Andre Drummond ($9,400) vs. Demarcus Cousins ($9,800) is going to be incredible to watch, but I am definitely concerned about them cannibalizing each other’s outputs. I imagine that both of their ceilings are capped and will most likely be a fan of game as opposed to investing in either.
Dwight Howard ($7,200) has been spectacular when he’s played this season. Howard is averaging a massive 1.4 DraftKings points per minute this season, which is 7th best in the league (tied with Kevin Durant). He dropped a ridiculous 20-20 line on Saturday night and has had four long days to get ready for tonight, so I expect a full workload for the big man. Early reports have Brook Lopez trending towards playing tonight which is actually good for Dwight. Lopez is one of the worst defending big men in the league and if he’s at all hampered by his foot/back, he’s going to have a tough time stopping Dwight.
That’s all folks! Plenty of value should be opening up later. Follow me on Twitter as news and injuries come through. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.