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Please Note: The format of the Cheat Sheet is a little different this week. I’ve heard some feedback from my readers and have made an effort to narrow the focus just a bit. I have decided to write about my favorite players at each position as opposed to going game-by-game. Providing rankings should really help you determine who I prefer as opposed to just giving you an overload of information. Every factors goes into account for the rankings. I think about recent performance, matchup, vegas line, price and so much more. If you like (or dislike) this format, I want you to let me know! You can tweet me or send me a note here.
Welcome to Week 10 Cheat Sheet! This is a feature that will be released every Friday throughout the season. It will be a fluid article (so check back often!) that will encompass everything you need to set your lineups for the NFL.
If you are interested in reading last week’s Cheat Sheet, here it is for Week 9.
BYEs: Atlanta, Indianapolis, San Diego, San Francisco
1. Aaron Rodgers ($7,500) – There is one great thing that will come from the Packers defense playing terribly and that’s Aaron Rodgers having to throw his team to victory. Any time you can get 30+ pass attempts from Rodgers, he has a chance to put up a massive point total. The Packers defense has surrendered 66 points over the last two games and been gashed for 927 yards in that span. We hope the Packers defense is just as bad this week, which could turn this game into a shootout. Rodgers exploded for 36.96 DraftKings points last week and will now face the porous Lions defense that ranks 29th in the league versus QBs.
2. Andy Dalton ($6,500) – Dalton continues to be under-priced for how impressive he has been this season. The Red Rocket had another great outing last week versus Cleveland, completing 21 of 27 passes for 234 yards and three TDs. Dalton is 4th in the league in PPDB (Points Per Dropback) and is averaging 22.9 DraftKings points per game this season. Dalton is in the friendly confines of Paul Brown Stadium and has had the long week to prepare for Houston after playing last Thursday. Houston has allowed opposing QBs to score at least 23 DraftKings points in half their games this season.
3. Tom Brady ($8,600) – Recent Performance? Check. Great Matchup? Check. The only problem with Tom Brady this week is his massive $8,600 price tag, but even so, he comes in at #3 on the rankings. He’s simply too good and the Patriots throw too often to avoid him with any regularity. The Patriots are throwing the ball a staggering 41 times per game and have you seen this Giants defense? They surrendered SEVEN (!!) passing TDs to Drew Brees just two weeks ago, imagine what Tom Brady could do to them. This is by far the highest O/U set by vegas at 54.5. Brady has the highest upside of any QB on the board.
4. Blake Bortles ($5,600) – This guy just never stops! He has averaged 21.4 DraftKings points per game this season and has hit 3x value in 6 of his last 7 games. In that time, he’s flashed brilliant upside scoring 20+ in four of those games. The Jags throw the ball so often, that it’s thrown Bortles into fantasy relevance. It’s also worth nothing that Bortles has earned the 300 yard bonus in three of four and this game is bookmarked with a solid 47.5 point O/U. The Jaguars are also 5.5 point underdogs which should mean plenty of passes for Bortles against the second worst defense in the league to opposing QBs in the Baltimore Ravens.
5. Drew Brees ($7,400) – Brees is the hottest QB in the league, throwing for 892 yards and 10 TDs over the course of the last two weeks. The Saints offense has looked unstoppable and they will try to continue that this week versus Washington. The Redskins started the year well against opposing QBs, but have softened since, allowing at least 18.86 DraftKings points to QBs in each of the last three and five of the last six. This is the second highest O/U on the slate at 50.5, with a tiny 1 point line. That should indicate plenty of scoring for both teams in this matchup.
6. Kirk Cousins ($5,200) – Re-read the paragraph above, for the reasons to like Kirk Cousins. Vegas thinks this game will be an absolute shootout and it’s hard to argue. Cousins has flashed plenty of upside when given the opportunity (34 DK points two weeks ago), but has been one of the most volatile QBs in the league. I have said from Week 1 that I am a firm believer that the Saints secondary is the worst in the league and I will stand by that. The numbers will also stand by that as no team has given up more DraftKings points to opposing QBs than New Orleans.
7. Cam Newton ($7,000) – Newton is the entire offense for the Panthers and I am barely exaggerating. He’s thrown for 15 TDs this season and added another 5 on the ground. He’s accounted for 19 of the Panthers 23 offensive TDs this season. TEN is another defense that started the season strong and have faded since. Expect a heavy dose of Newton again this week as the Panthers look to remain undefeated.
8. Eli Manning ($6,700) – Manning is clearly a GPP-only play as he has been way too inconsistent to trust in cash games. However, this appears to be a decent situation for Manning. We’ve talked that this is by far the biggest O/U on the slate (54.5) and the Giants are 7 point underdogs. This could be the most pass attempts from Manning in any game this season. Gamescript has not been kind to the Patriots defensive numbers, as they have allowed 21+ DraftKings points to opposing QBs in four of eight games this season. Many points are scored against them in garbage time, which could absolutely be a way for Manning to pad his stats this week.
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