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Note: As usual, these write-ups include about recent performance, matchup, vegas line, price and so much more. If you like (or dislike) this format, I want you to let me know! You can tweet me or send me a note here. I can’t believe it’s the final week of the NFL season! Let’s not waste any more time. Here we go!
Welcome to the Week 17 Cheat Sheet! This is a feature that will be released every Friday throughout the season.
Ben Roethlisberger ($6,900) – You have to love a high upside QB who’s in a must win situation in Week 17. Big Ben is coming off a dud of a game against Baltimore, but don’t let that sway you too much. He’s been one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in the league this season. He’s averaging 23.55 DraftKings points over his L7 games including that terrible 6.5 point performance last week. If you throw that game out, the average jumps to 26.5 DraftKings points over the previous six games. The Browns have been one of the worst secondaries in the league this season, giving up the 6th most DraftKings points to opposing QBs this season.
Blake Bortles ($6,700) – The Jaguars are simply looking to play spoiler in this game, but that’s no different than any other game the Jags have played this season. Bortles has been an impressive fantasy QB this season and is averaging 29.9 DraftKings points per game over his L5 games. It’s worth noting that many young QBs produce more at home than on the road. That’s not the case for Bortles who is actually averaging 26 DraftKings points on the road while 21.1 at home this season. That’s likely due to the Jaguars being larger underdogs on the road, lending to more passing opportunities. Whatever the reason, it should benefit Bortles fantasy value as they travel to Houston as 6 point underdogs.
If you’ve followed these posts all season long, you know how much I dislike Matt Ryan ($5,500). He’s been one of the most overrated QBs in recent memory and he continues to come up small if every great fantasy situation. Well, if you like punishment, you need to consider rostering him this week. It just doesn’t get any better. The Saints have been atrocious on defense this season allowing the most (by far) DraftKings points to opposing QBs. To demonstrate how poor they’ve been, check out the Points Allowed by Position Chart. They’ve surrendered 26.75 DraftKings points per game to opposing signal callers. That’s 3.5 points more than the second worst team (NYG). That difference of 3.5 is the same amount that separates the second worst team and the 14th worst team in the league. Now it’s Matt Ryan, at home, in the highest total game on the board with a small 4 point spread. If Ryan can’t produce this week, he never will.
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That’s all folks! Be sure to follow us on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to kickoff! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.
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