Le’Veon Bell ($8,500) picked up right where he left off last season. Now averaging 26.2 DraftKings points in his two games this season, the highest average of any RB. The price is steep, but Bell has the two best factors in his favor this week. The first is opportunity. He has 26 and 29 touches in his first two weeks and without Big Ben, they are going to rely heavily on Bell for the foreseeable future. Next, the matchup with San Diego is literally as good as it gets. No team in the league has surrendered more DraftKings points to opposing RBs. If you need another reason (you shouldn’t), the Steelers are getting an extra long week to prepare, coming off a Thursday Night game and playing on Monday Night. This is literally the best running back in the best matchup.
The legendary streak of Devonta Freeman ($6,300) is going to be tested this week. Freeman has six TDs in his last two games and has won owners a ton of money. He now has to battle the Redskins who have given up the league’s fewest DraftKings points to opposing RBs. I suspect Freeman’s ownership to be through the roof, so I will probably fade him in this tough matchup in GPPs. His situation could get worse if Tevin Coleman suits up for Week 5. Unfortunately, it’s tough to roster a guy who’s price jumps $1,100, is in the worst matchup and whose touches may take a hit.
A really good sign for Mark Ingram ($6,100) that he was still involved in the passing game despite the return of CJ Spiller. Ingram still handles the bulk of the workload in terms of carries and has now caught 22 balls in the first four games of the season, including six last week. In what should be a fast paced, potential shootout, Ingram becomes a very safe play with high upside.
I wonder how many will be on Justin Forsett ($5,800) this week. I don’t have data to back it up, but many owners “forget” about players who played on the previous Thursday. Well, don’t forget about Forsett. An outstanding game with 150 yards on the ground and dominated the carries with 27 of them! Expect Forsett to see the bulk of the work against the miserable Browns rushing defense. Cleveland is giving up 141.5 yards on the ground per game this season, second worst in the league.
I am pretty interested in Doug Martin ($4,700) this week. He is starting to show signs of life and looked great in Week 4 vs. Carolina. He broke off 106 yards on 20 carries and even hauled in five receptions for another 37 yards. Usually gameflow for the Buccaneers removes the running game, but they are a favorite in this one and it may be the last time they are favorites all season long. That could produce a few extra carries for Martin as long as this game stays close. Martin would not need to do much to pay for himself.
I love the RB position this week. I wish I could roster 10 of them! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.