After two straight games of failing to reach value, I am hopping back on Devonta Freeman ($8,000) again this week. Atlanta is a massive favorite against the 49ers, so we should see a heavy dosage of Freeman who has seen exactly 27 touches in each of the last two weeks. This matchup is excellent as the Niners have been gashed by RBs all season long, allowing the third most DraftKings points.
You want the revenge narrative this week? How about DeMarco Murray ($6,400) headed back to Dallas for the first time. It’s more than a narrative, with Murray seeing more touches in the last three weeks (71) versus the 40 he saw in the previous three games. An increased workload and a great matchup as Dallas has given up the 5th most DraftKings points to opposing RBs.
Dion Lewis ($6,400) is essentially a WR disguised as a RB. His value comes in the form of the full point PPR and he’s hauled in 22 catches in the last four games. Lewis has only scored less than 16 DraftKings points on one occasion this season (week 6). With how often the Patriots drop back to throw, Lewis will always have value and flashes of significant upside.
I guess Ronnie Hillman ($4,600) is a “thing” now? I hate this DEN RB situation so much, but it’s hard to ignore when a guy who’s priced sub-$5K who’s seen 19 and 20 carries in the last two weeks. Hillman has been very solid, scoring 18.5, 17.5 and 20.8 in three of his last four games. He’s getting a prime matchup with IND who has given up the 8th most DraftKings points to opposing RBs this season.
Plenty of value down here. Assuming Matt Forte misses, Jeremy Langford ($4,000) will jump up the boards. With the way the CHI offense works, the running back rarely comes off the field. Langford could be forced into three down duty in the best matchup we could ask for against SD. The Chargers are dead last in points allowed versus RBs this season.
Unfortunately, the pricing was updated on Deangelo Williams ($5,500) after the LeVeon Bell news. Williams was excellent this season in games that Bell missed. Williams ran for 127 and 77 yards including 3 TDs in the two games without Bell. I expect him to step in and continue to have a really nice season. He’s still under-priced, but not nearly as good of a value as I would have hoped.
The Running Back position is a hot mess right now, with big time injuries opening up value. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.