Going through and setting your One & Done lineup for the entire year, instead of setting it weekly, is one of the best thought exercises that I can recommend. You not only remove the weekly biases that are certain to creep into your brain but you also ensure that you use all of the best golfers that are available to you. This is something that I have done, along with a weekly selection, for the past few years. More often than not, the team that I set at the start of the year outperforms the one that I choose on a weekly basis.
I use the data-driven strategy outlined in previous one & done posts for the foundation of my lineup.
The big caveat is that we don’t know where every golfer will tee it up each year. We can certainly make assumptions based on the prestige of the event and the golfer’s past history, but there might need to be small tweaks made throughout the season to keep this on track.
Start With The Big Boys
I’m talking about purses, not golfers. There are 11 events in the 2022 year that will have a purse of more than $10,000,000. There are eight that will have a purse greater than $11,000,000 and there are only three that will be greater than $12,000,000. But the biggest one of all, the PLAYERS Championship, will feature a staggering $20,000,000 purse. That’s the same amount as combining the U.S. Open and 3M Open purses together.
These massive events will be the spots where you can create leverage on the field and you can be sure to use the best golfer’s available. When you’re setting your lineups, start with these events.
Find The Course Horses
There are plenty of tools available at RickRunGood.com to help you find which golfers play the best on each course. It’s really as simple as clicking the tournament name and looking for each golfer’s results. This not only tells us where a golfer should succeed but it also gives us a hint into their schedule. If a golfer played the Valero Texas Open for five straight years, with decent success, you can assume they will tee it up again this time around.
There are a handful of events where you should be looking to embrace volatility as much as possible. For example, the WGC Match Play event has been a tough test for the best players in the world. Often times, the top seed isn’t even making it out of their own group, let alone making a deep run. This is the only WGC event on the calendar for 2022 and it has a massive $11,500,000 purse. This would be a decent spot to either pick a golfer further down the rankings or find someone with elite match play history.
The Zurich Classic, the team event, is another place to get creative. Most One & Done Leagues allow you to choose one golfer but still get access to their teammate without burning both. The two most natural selections in this slot would be Ryan Palmer and Billy Horschel who will presumably play with Jon Rahm and Sam Burns respectively.
My Proposed Lineup
When you start going through the numbers and slotting guys into tournaments you might need to do some tweaking based on your own risk tolerance. Here’s what I ended up with, sorted by Purse:
|3/13/2022||$20,000,000||THE PLAYERS Championship||Justin Thomas|
|6/19/2022||$12,500,000||U.S. Open||Brooks Koepka|
|5/22/2022||$12,000,000||PGA Championship||Scottie Scheffler|
|3/27/2022||$11,500,000||WGC Dell Technologies Match Play||Patrick Cantlay|
|4/10/2022||$11,500,000||The Masters||Bryson DeChambeau|
|7/17/2022||$11,500,000||The Open Championship||Jordan Spieth|
|8/14/2022||$11,500,000||FedEx St. Jude Championship||Dustin Johnson|
|8/21/2022||$11,500,000||BMW Championship||Jon Rahm|
|2/20/2022||$10,500,000||The Genesis Invitational||Collin Morikawa|
|3/6/2022||$10,500,000||Arnold Palmer Invitational||Matt Fitzpatrick|
|6/5/2022||$10,500,000||the Memorial||Xander Schauffele|
|5/15/2022||$9,100,000||AT&T Bryon Nelson||Tony Finau|
|5/8/2022||$9,000,000||Wells Fargo Championship||Rory McIlroy|
|2/6/2022||$8,700,000||AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am||Daniel Berger|
|6/12/2022||$8,700,000||RBC Canadian Open||Harris English|
|4/3/2022||$8,600,000||Valero Texas Open||Sam Burns|
|1/30/2022||$8,400,000||Farmers Insurance Open||Viktor Hovland|
|5/29/2022||$8,400,000||Charles Schwab Challenge||Jason Kokrak|
|7/31/2022||$8,400,000||Rocket Mortgage Classic||Joaquin Niemann|
|4/24/2022||$8,300,000||Zurich Classic||Billy Horschel|
|6/26/2022||$8,300,000||Travelers Championship||Sergio Garcia|
|2/13/2022||$8,200,000||Waste Management Phoenix Open||Louis Oosthuizen|
|2/27/2022||$8,000,000||The Honda Classic||Sungjae Im|
|4/17/2022||$8,000,000||RBC Heritage||Abraham Ancer|
|7/10/2022||$8,000,000||Genesis Scottish Open||Robert MacIntyre|
|3/20/2022||$7,800,000||Valspar Championship||Paul Casey|
|1/23/2022||$7,600,000||The American Express||Talor Gooch|
|1/16/2022||$7,500,000||Sony Open in Hawaii||Corey Conners|
|7/24/2022||$7,500,000||3M Open||Matthew Wolff|
|5/1/2022||$7,300,000||Mexico Championship||Hideki Matsuyama|
|8/7/2022||$7,300,000||Wyndham Championship||Webb Simpson|
|7/3/2022||$7,100,000||John Deere Classic||Russell Henley|
|3/6/2022||$3,700,000||Puerto Rico Open||Maverick McNealy|
|3/27/2022||$3,700,000||Corales Puntacana Championship||Mackenzie Hughes|
|7/10/2022||$3,700,000||Barbasol Championship||Mito Pereira|
|7/17/2022||$3,700,000||Barracuda Championship||Emiliano Grillo|