Dylan Bundy has been solid for the Orioles since being moved into a starts role. In five starts, he’s sporting a solid 3.00 ERA, but a glistening 1.90 ERA in his last four starts. In that latest stretch, he’s striking out 29 batters in 23.2 IP and opponents are batting a mere .148 against him. That’s a great stretch for a guy who should have plenty of innings left in his arm this season. Today he will get the benefit of facing a National League team and traveling to one of the most pitcher friendly parks in the league. The Giants have scuffled this month, ranking 23rd in wOBA.
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You want the real GPP play of the day? How about Joe Musgrove? The Astros rookie has looked strong in his first two career starts, striking out 14 batters over 11.1 IP. He’s coming off a seven inning, six strikeout game against TEX where he only allowed one run. His debut game against the Blue Jays when he struck out eight over 4.1 IP and allowed only one hit. He’s going to get those same Jays tonight and while that’s the scary matchup on paper, Toronto hasn’t been nearly as formidable as they were earlier this season. In the last 30 days they rank 20th in wOBA while striking out at 23.1%, which is the fifth worst mark in the league.
Patrick Corbin has really struggled this season and has shown little resistance to opposing offenses. He has allowed multiple earned runs in 16 consecutive starts and is sporting a 6.00 ERA in that span. Believe it or not, his last eight have been even worse, where he’s earned a 7.09 ERA and opponents are hitting a whopping .329 against him. The scary part is that all of those games were against National League teams and now he has to travel to Boston to take on a potent American League lineup in the Red Sox. Boston continues to roll and is one of the top offenses in the league no matter how you split the season. To make matters worse, they’ve feasted on LHP where they have the highest batting average in the league and the third best wOBA versus southpaws.
I have to mention that Fanduel has Alex Rodriguez priced at $696 today, a tribute to his 696 career Home Runs. A-Rod has had a brutal season and with an 0-4 yesterday, his average this year has tumbled to .199. He’s batting .105 over his last 43 ABs. I suspect Rodriguez will bat 4th again on Friday in his last game with the Yankees. He will be popular, but fade at your own risk for a guy priced at basically one-third of the min price. He would hit 2x value with a single hit.
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