Article written by Matthew “Mizzerski” Mieszerski.
It’s Friday ya’ll. Time to get your Rebecca Black on and time to beat the DFS streets. Another full slate and another basket of opportunities. Let’s get after it.
There’s a handful of solid options at pitcher today and narrowing those options down can be a chore. My first lean is Kenta Maeda (10.2K.) The D-Backs currently have an implied run total of just 3 on the day and their 23.1% K% ranks 5th highest in the league. Maeda has averaged 6.41 K/9 over his past 10 starts and his current season long average is 9.32 K/9. Arizona should have a predominantly right handed lineup today and that’ll favor Maeda who is currently pacing a .248 wOBA vs righties and a total .284 wOBA over his past 10 starts. Dodger Stadium continues to be a pitcher friendly park and with a late start time there should be some time for that Southern California heat to wear off a bit.
Trevor Bauer (8.3K) Bauer’s current 8.51 K/9 and .81 HR/9 are both solid and he’s averaged 6.55 IP over his last 10 starts. He’s allowing just a 3.17 ERA and a .273 wOBA including a .269 wOBA vs LHB over that same stretch which shows promise for Bauer considering the A’s should have a fairly lefty heavy lineup today. Bauer has been a bit streaky this year no doubt, but I think the matchup vs an Oakland team that ranks middle of the pack or below in nearly every major offensive category could very well be the bend in the river he needs to get back on track and be an anchor for an Indian team that’s poised to make a postseason run.
Stack action-Toronto Blue Jays (4.9 implied runs) Josh Donaldson (5.2K) has a .356 ISO vs RHP and have averaged 12.24 pts over his last 30 games. His matchup wOBA on the day is a high .428 and he’s averaging a .438 wOBA overall in the last 2 months. Donaldson is currently putting forth a strong campaign for AL MVP and he’s in a great spot to strengthen his stance. Edwin Encarnacion (4.3K) The favorable matchup numbers continue here with Encarnacion. He’s powering a .307 ISO vs RHP, has a .409 matchup wOBA for today’s competition and his wOBA over the last 60 day is .421. His flyball rate has risen to 53% over his past 15 & his hard hit % is at 42% over the same timeframe. Jose Bautista (3.9K) His current ISO split is .271 and his sheer value alone in this slate makes him a near lock of a play, stack or otherwise. Bautista has a granite .392 wOBA vs RHP this year and in the leadoff spot should present some nice AB opportunities.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings & Fanduel strategy and scoring.