Article written by Matt “Mizzerski” Mieszerski.
Another day another dollar. There’s only 7 days left in July which means that we have another 38 days of complaining about how hot it is until we then invariably begin to complain about how cold it is shortly thereafter. Let’s be honest going into the last week of July we all want to find someone that can go Hanley HAM to kick it off the right way. While you can’t necessarily project someone going off for 3 HR’s and 6 RBI’s in a game you can project what the day’s SP will look like and today is really few and far between.
Diamonds in the rough? First I’m looking at Corey Kluber. While the O’s aren’t necessarily a team that you want to go after with a SP Kluber’s got some solid K upside as he’s posting a 9.07 K/9 with a 25.3% K% and a.267 wOBA on the year thus far. Camden Yards is a pitcher friendly park and Kluber is setup to perform well today. He’s got 16 K’s in his last two starts(vs KC and NYY) and he’s performing respectably against RHB with a .65 HR/9, 48% GB % and a 1.5 GB/FB ratio. Numero dos? For me it’s Jon Lester against Milwaukee. Yes it’s the second time in as many days I’m targeting MIL but rightfully so. They have another low projected run total(3.8) as mentioned yesterday they have a 47.5% GB % and CHI are heavy favorites again on the road against their NL Central counterparts. Lester ranks in the 90th percentile amongst starting pitchers for ISO differential and wOBA split percentile. His opponents hard hit percentage is only 27% and he’s sporting a 48% GB %. K upside? Well MIL loves to strikeout and Lester’s currently pacing an 8.4 K/9 and most days are good days to go after the BrewCrew with a SP, today is no different.
Who should we Jerry Stackhouse on this summer Sunday? Despite getting blasted at home by the M’s I vote north of the border with the blue birds. TOR is projected to score 5.3 runs, they’re solid Vegas favorites on the day, the dome setting always favors hitters in Rogers and they have a favorable umpire matchup. Continuing his AL MVP campaign Josh Donaldson has another chance to continue his trend of crushing left handed pitchers. He’s rocking a .629 SLG, .281 ISO, .457 wOBA an overall .348 AVG. and he’s always a threat on the basepaths to rack up additional fantasy points with his 5.3 SPD. Second member of the stack is an additional deep threat with Edwin Encarnacion. A .314 ISO v LHP, .349 wOBA and 2 HR in his last 3 games(going into Sunday) coupled with his AVG Batted Ball Distance being up to 246 feet over his last 15 days give some nice upside for some power numbers. Last but not least is Troy Tulowitzki, his fly ball rate has climbed to 44% over the past 15 days and his hard hit % is 48 % over the same stretch, he offers some great GPP upside and even as a cash play still decent value given the pitching matchup.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings & Fanduel strategy and scoring.