September brings minor league call-ups as rosters expand to 40 players. Also, the first of the month is an off day for the vast majority of the teams, leaving us with the lightest schedule of the season. Options are limited with only four games on the slate.
Jacob deGrom will be the chalk of the slate. He’s the biggest name and opens as the biggest favorite with a -190 moneyline. Despite the heavy odds, deGrom has been knocked around to the tune of 25 hits and 13 runs in his last two starts. I couldn’t blame you for looking to fade deGrom on this slate or even stacking the Marlins. They are a road team, guaranteed nine at-bats and they got to deGrom the last time they faced him. It was July 23rd when the Marlins knocked out deGrom after just 3.2 innings with ten hits and five earned runs.
I’m looking toward Jarred Cosart as a viable pitching option. Since being acquired by the Padres, Cosart has made five starts, posting a 2.88 ERA and striking out 20 batters in 25 innings. His walks are always a concern, but he’s managed them (“only” six) in his last three starts. That recent stretch is producing a 1.62 ERA (3 earned in 16.2). Now he will face the Braves who have certainly improved their offense lately, but still rank in the bottom half of most offensive categories.
Outside of his last start, Ervin Santana has been dominant! He got shelled for six earned in Toronto five days ago, but that’s a tough matchup and he still lasted 6.2 innings. The 11 starts prior to that game has led to a 1.79 ERA with opponents hitting a meager .202 against him. That’s a stellar 75 inning stretch of baseball and he goes back to a favorable matchup with the White Sox tonight.
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