Article written by Matthew “Mizzerski” Mieszerski.
Jake Odorizzi (9.1K) Odorizzi is coming off two solid performances in which he posted 25.0+ fantasy points at home against the Yankees and on the road in Oakland. In those two starts he averaged 7.1 IP, earned 10 K’s and didn’t allow an earned run. Odorizzi has averaged 5.8 K’s in his last 10( an 8.54 K/9 on the year) and he’s seen heightened success at home with an elevated 24.9% K% and a K/9 of 9.09 at Tropicana Field. While Duffy went into beast mode vs Tampa yesterday the Royals have struggled offensively this year and of late. KC has an implied run total of 3.5 for the contest and in the last 14 days they’ve managed to post just a .101 ISO, a .265 wOBA, 54 wRC+ and a meager .214 AVG.
John Lackey (9.3K) Lackey is getting the call at home today as they face Miami in the final offering of their 3 game series. He’s coming off an average start against the White Sox last Thursday but he’s averaging 6.5 K’s per start over his last 4 including a 9 and 8 K performance in that stretch. Over the past month he’s earning an avg fantasy score of 20.13 but that stretch includes a game in which he allowed 5 ER, gave up two walks and fanned only 4 against Cincinnati on the road. Being home at Wrigley will favor Lackey as well and the Cubs are getting the majority of the action in Vegas and they’ll be favorites on the day.
Stack City: The chalk stacks of the day are Cleveland, Washington and the matchup at Coors. To be a bit contrarian I’m looking at a Cardinals stack against the Reds in a matchup in which they have an implied run total of 4.8. Greg Garcia (3.2K) Garcia has a .410 wOBA vs LHP, providing a nice split upside, and aside from an 0-4 night on Saturday on the road against Miami, he’s averaged 12 fantasy points in last two starts. I like the handedness matchup vs Reed and in the leadoff spot he should see a nice amount of ABs. Stephen Piscotty (4.8K) Piscotty will also benefit from positive splits vs LHP including a .437 wOBA, a .275 ISO and a .601 SLG. & another favorable lineup position provides even more upside opportunity. Matt Adams (3.7K) Adams does have a boom or bust factor here but there some nice trends in his favor over the past 15 days including a 61% FB rate, a hard hit % that’s up to 55% in the given stretch and an average batted ball distance of 281 feet.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings & Fanduel strategy and scoring.