A really solid play in Nate Karns ($8,200) tonight who ranks 5th on the slate in K/9. His 9.87 K/9 is more than Harvey, Sale, Teheran and Verlander (to name a few). That big time strikeout upside has shown itself in three straight solid games for Karns, scoring 25.5, 17.3 and 28.8 in that stretch. He will benefit from an Angels team that might be one of the worst rosters in the entire league. Outside of Mike Trout, there is nothing inspiring about this team. They own the 4th worst wOBA this season and the absolute worst in the last seven days. Don’t forget the benefit of pitching at Safeco Field, which allowed the 4th fewest runs in the league last year.
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Chris Tillman ($7,900) is another guy flying under the radar. He’s averaging 24.35 DraftKings PPG over his last four games, while pitching at least 6 innings in each of those games. His 25 strikeouts in his last three games has been impressive and he has only allowed one HR this season. Tonight he battles a Tigers team that is striking out at 30.5% this week (thanks for Max Scherzer), but are also fourth in the league in Ks for the entire season. I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t concerned about the ballpark here, but Tillman has been very good at avoiding the HR this season, so I am willing to run him out in GPPs.
I’ve been waiting (and rooting) for Shelby Miller to turn it around this season, but it’s simply not happening. After a miserable start, Miller hasn’t bounced back and now owns the slate’s worst xFIP (by far). He’s now officially walking more batters per nine (6.44) than striking out per nine (6.14). His 43% FB rate and 37.1% Hard% are both bottom four on this slate and are concerning for Miller fantasy owners. Now he has to face the Giants who strike out at 16.4%, which is the second lowest rate in the league. Along with not striking out, the Giants know how to score runs, ranking 6th in the league in that category. San Fran gets a big boost going on the road to Chase Field from their usual pitcher-friendly AT&T Park. Chase Field allowed the 8th most runs last season and currently checks in at number two this season.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.