Plenty of A+ pitching options on the slate, so let’s choose the most interesting. I think Stephen Strasburg ($11,600) makes the most sense of the “elite” options. His 10.13 K/9 is second to only Jose Fernandez and his 2.70 xFIP is best on the slate. Where those two differ, is the matchup. Fernandez will battle the league’s hottest team in the Brewers who have by far the best wOBA in the last seven days. Strasburg will take on the meddling Tigers who have sputtered for the first month of the season. Their offensive woes continue in the last seven days, checking in with the 7th worst wOBA and third highest K%. The Nationals need a stopper right now after being swept by the Cubs in a four game series. There’s no one better for the job than Strasburg who has scored at least 23.9 DraftKings points in five straight games.
Why is the industry still avoiding Steven Matz ($9,300)? People will not forgive him from being shelled in his first start of the season. Since then (in four starts), Matz has piled on 29 Ks in 27 IP, lasting at least 6 innings in each of those games. He’s only allowed two runs in that span and is averaging 28,5 DraftKings points per game. He will face the Dodgers tonight who are being given much too much respect. The Dodgers have scuffled all season long, earning the 21st wOBA this season and hitting the second fewest HRs. They’ve been pedestrian against LHP so I am ready to fire up Matz again tonight.
Things could heat up in South Beach tonight for the Miami Marlins. You can slice the season in the last seven, fourteen or thirty days and you will find the Marlins as a top seven offense in each of those splits. They are clicking on all cylinders and striking out at a measly 14.5% this week, easily the best mark in the league. Now that battle Wily Peralta who owns the worst xFIP on the slate, the third lowest K/9 (5.4) and has given up seven or more hits in four of his last five games. Peralta hasn’t pitched since May 1 when he gave up 13 hits and five ER while striking out ZERO. That game was against, you guessed it, these Marlins.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.