I’m all aboard the James Paxton train right now. He’s made two starts this season, only lasting 9.2 innings combined, but has racked up 17 strikeouts in the process. His last outing was a ten strikeout performance in six innings against the Indians, while only allowing one earned run. His ability to pile up the Ks is hard to pass up against the Rangers today. It’s not a particularly great matchup, but the Rangers are significantly worse on the road this season. Texas ranks 26th in wOBA on the road this year and Safeco Field will provide a nice boost to Paxton.
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If you’re looking to fly under the radar, consider Tanner Roark. Roark isn’t sexy but has eaten plenty of innings for the Nationals this season, lasting at least six innings in nine of his last eleven starts. He’s allowed two or fewer runs in six of his last nine outings and will get the Phillies today. Besides being one of the worst offenses in the league, Roark has pitched 14 innings against the Phils across two starts. In those 14 innings, he’s only surrendered six total hits and two total runs.
We talked a few days ago about how the Mets have struggled offensively this season, but I am willing to buy low on them today. They will face Wily Peralta who has been brutal this season. Since May 1, he’s sporting a 6.38 ERA over seven starts. That ERA actually looks good compared to his home ERA of 8.19. That should be no surprise since Miller Park is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the league. Peralta has the 10th worst xFIP in the entire league and his ERA is the actually the worst in the league. Batters are hitting a whopping .387 against him which is, you guessed it, a league worst.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.