I can’t get over how good Aaron Nola ($9,500) has been this season. His 2.54 xFIP this season is third amongst qualified pitchers this season. THIRD! Not on this slate, but out of every pitcher. The only two guys with a better xFIP this year are Clayton Kershaw and Noah Syndergaard. That is ELITE company. His 9.59 K/9 is best on this slate and he has scored 28+ DraftKings points in three of his last four. Tonight he will get the struggling Reds who are 24th in wOBA this season and will step out of the friendly confines of Great American Ballpark tonight. The Reds are the third-worst offense on the road this season. This is a Reds team that was diced up by Jeremy Hellickson (!!) last night!
When healthy, Carlos Martinez ($9,700) is one of the most electric pitchers in the league. He left his last start early and will be on seven days rest tonight when he battles the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers are a bottom third offense this season and in the last seven days. Martinez is averaging 22.18 DraftKings points per game in games this season (outside of the game he left to injury). Martinez has lasted at least six innings in each of his games this season and can pile up ground-balls with the best of them.
How about targeting Anibal Sanchez tonight? His 4.94 xFIP is 6th worst of all qualified pitchers this season. Outside out that, only one pitcher is walking more batters per nine than Sanchez. Again, that’s not just this slate, that’s ALL pitchers this season. He’s been especially miserable in his last four games, allowing 22 hits and 17 runs in his last 21 IP. Now he has to battle the scorching Orioles who own the second-best wOBA in the last seven days while slugging out the second-most runs. Oriole Park is extremely hitter-friendly. It allows the third most runs and second most HRs in the league last season.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.