I don’t need to say anything about Jacob deGrom at San Diego. He’s one of the league’s top pitchers in the league’s best matchup. Don’t overthink it. Other than deGrom:
Mr. Chalk comes in the way of Jaime Garcia ($9,700) tonight. He owns the highest K/9 on the slate with a stellar 3.14 xFIP (third best on the slate). Despite the stellar metrics, he’s been a bit volatile in terms of fantasy outputs. He’s only cracked 17 DraftKings points on one occasion, but it was worth 54.1 DraftKings points. It’s probable that he’ll be able to have another great outing against the Phillies tonight who own the league’s second-worst wOBA. No team strikes out more than the Phillies against LHP this season at a ridiculous 29.5%. That’s 3.2% higher than the next worse team, the same difference between teams #2 and #13.
If you’re willing to look past a small sample size, Michael Fulmer ($6,500) could provide plenty of value on this slate. Fulmer made his MLB debut last week while scattering seven hits over five innings. While that isn’t ideal, he did rack up ten ground-balls and four strikeouts. This endorsement is more of a matchup play. The Indians have been pretty miserable lately, racking up a 25.5% K% (sixth highest in the league) and boasting the 7th worst wOBA in the last seven days. Fulmer has been a strikeout per inning pitcher in his last two minor league seasons.
Another day, another Colorado Rockies stack. Always under-owned on the road, despite being a top 10 offense away from Coors. In the last seven days, they have the third-best wOBA while slugging the most HRs and the third most runs. Tonight, they get the shell of Matt Cain‘s past. Cain has been terrible this season, allowing 34 hits in 27 IP this season. His 4.77 xFIP is the third-worst on the slate and he’s only struck out 11 batters in his last three starts. His 41.4% FB rate is concerning for the Giants because flyballs tend to lead to home runs.
After a slow start, the hottest team in the league over the L7 is the Detroit Tigers. No team has a better wOBA and no team has score more runs. They are even swiping the fourth most bases in that same span. Speed, power and runs are piling up for the Tigers right now. Now they get Trevor Bauer who is being eased back into a full workload. He hasn’t pitched more than 4 innings this season and no more than 78 pitches. Bauer battled control issues last season which have continued into 2016. He’s walking over 4 batters per nine innings and allowed 1.18 HR/9 last season, which was the 17th worst mark in the league. Progressive Field is a big time hitters ballpark, allowing the 2nd most runs in the league last year and has allowed the 6th most HRs this season.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.