This is a nice chance to buy low on Aaron Nola. He’s coming off two really sub-par outings, allowing ten ER in only 6.2 IP combined. In his defense, he was beat up by two formidable offenses (WAS & TOR) and those starts are not indicative of his season as a whole. In his nine starts before these games, Nola posted a ridiculous 1.68 ERA, allowing only 11 runs over 59 IP. Opponent hit a paltry .204 against him, while he struck out 62 batters in that stretch. Tonight he has to travel to an American League ballpark, but I would never describe the Twins offense as formidable. They rank 22nd in wOBA this season and are striking out slightly more than the league average.
Something really interesting is happening with Chris Sale right now. Sale is 11-2 and likely front-runner for the AL Cy Young Award, but his strikeout numbers have been down all season. In the first eight starts of his season, Sale averaged just 8.07 K/9, but he’s improved that number to 9.4 K/9 over his last six starts. He’s in a really tough spot against the Red Sox tonight, but Sale is someone who could be slightly under-priced moving forward, especially if he gets shelled tonight. If his K’s start to trend upwards again, he’s going to be one of the top fantasy performers the rest of the season.
The Blue Jays are back and in a big way! In the last 30 days, they rank second in wOBA, have scored the most runs in the league and have slugged more homers than anyone. their .229 ISO is off the charts, a full 24 points higher than the next closest team. That 24 points is the same difference between teams #2 and #7. Tonight they have a date with Patrick Corbin who has been beat up in the last month. Corbin owns a 6.26 ERA over his last four starts and opponents are batting nearly .300 off the lefty in that span.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis and news as starting lineups are released! Commentary based on DraftKings & Fanduel strategy and scoring.