Kemba Walker ($8,200) has not been afraid to go big as of late, dropping at least 43 DraftKings points in six of his last ten games including a 43.75 DK point performance in only 26 minutes against the Hawks on Wednesday night. He’s been filling it up every single night and now gets the excellent matchup with the Pelicans who have been brutal against opposing PGs all season long.
Speaking of good matchups, Isaiah Thomas ($7,900) has the best matchup on the slate with the Suns who have been BRUTAL all around in the last month, but particularly against defending the guards. This isn’t a true revenge game for IT as it’s in Boston, but he’s still facing the team that traded him away. It couldn’t come at a better time for Thomas, who is averaging 48.86 DK PPG over his last three contests. He’s played a bit of “Hero Ball” in the last few weeks where he tried to take over the game, ending with him taking ~20 shots. While it’s not always great for the Celtics, it’s great for Thomas’ fantasy owners.
This feels like a nice time to buy low on Dwyane Wade ($6,800). Wade laid a dud in his good matchup against LAC on Wednesday night, but has been solid for the Heat, averaging 34.9 DK PPG over his last six outing. He’s been a bit volatile, but with Goran Dragic sitting this game out, Wade should have an opportunity to reach his ceiling tonight. I expect Wade to take over more of the ball-handling duties which should increase his usage rate and ability to rack up assists. Wade is a true double-double threat, with an outside shot at a triple-double in a fast paced game with Denver.
You can’t overlook Wade’s counterpart in this game, Gary Harris ($4,100) who racks up a ton of minutes for the Nuggets. Three straight games of 31+ minutes for DEN, including a massive 39 against the Warriors on Wednesday night. Harris has averaged 23.9 DK PPG in those three contests, and has posted 19+ DK points in eight of his last ten. That makes him a solid bet to reach 5x salary, with a hint of upside.
I know I can’t stop talking about this MIA/DEN game, but for good reason. How about Danilo Gallinari ($7,200) who’s been RED HOT since returning from injury. That includes a burst of 40.3 DK PPG over his last five, hitting nearly 41% of his three point attempts. He hasn’t scored less than 20 real points in any game since getting healthy (six games). Miami is not a team built to defend wings and Gallinari is one of the hottest shooters in the league.
You have to consider Dirk Nowitzki ($6,300) in all formats for tonight. The German Superstar has averaged 37.6 DK PPG over his L4 games which would be 6x value again tonight. He’s going to be well-rested after sitting out on Wednesday night, prime for a matchup with the Bulls. Dirk has launched 7.25 3PAs over that four game span, shooting nearly 45% on such shots. It’s clear that he’s scorching right now and should be a matchup problem form the Bulls tonight.
Keep a close eye on the Wizards injury report for tonight. If Marcin Gortat sits, Nene Hilario ($4,200) should open up as a solid value. He’s coming back from injury of his own, but has been thrust into action to fill-in for Gortat. In the last two outings, Nene has posted some well-rounded lines of 14-2-2-1-1 and 12-3-3-2-2 for 23 and 27.5 DK points respectively. Nene is a high energy player who can fill up all categories when he earns extended minutes. Keep Nene on your radar again tonight.
I wonder how many owners will avoid Al Horford ($6,900) tonight after an absolute dud on Wednesday night. Horford scored 4.5 DK points in 28 minutes which is almost impossible. I think I might be able to score 4.5 DK points in 28 minutes of an NBA game. I am willing to throw that game out the window, because it’s not remotely close to what Horford has been this season. In the three games before Wednesday, Horford averaged 52.08 DK points per game. I am willing to bet on a bounce-back performance for Horford.
A great matchup for Frank Kaminsky ($4,400) who has been thrust into 25+ minutes a night for the Hornets. He’s starting to put it all together, returning his owners nearly 6x value in two straight games. He’s a skilled rebounder who can provide a bonus through real points. You couldn’t ask for a better matchup with the Pelicans who have surrendered the most DK PPG to opposing centers this season. I think he’s worth a flier in GPPs as the center position is relatively thin tonight.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.