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It’s hard to explain how pivotal John Wall ($9,600) is to this Wizards team. He is single-handily attempting to carry Washington to the playoffs and his fantasy owners are benefitting in the process. He is averaging 50.3 DraftKings PPG over his last 12 games while scoring at least 42 in ten of twelve. On the higher end, he’s score 50+ on seven of those occasions. He’s earned double-digits assists in nine of those games and will face the 76ers tonight. Wall has torched the Sixers in two meetings this season, averaging 56.4 DK PPG including a 53 point performance just three days ago.
I want you to think back to late December when Will Barton ($5,600) has the best fantasy run of his season. He was averaging 40.4 DraftKings points per game, taking nearly 19 shots a night and turning in massive game after massive game. Those outings directed coincided with Danilo Gallinari being out of the lineup for the Nuggets. Well, Gallinari twisted his ankle Friday night and is going to miss the next three or four weeks. It’s logical that Barton is going to be the biggest beneficiary of this injury. He’s a bit volatile but can fill it up in a hurry. He legitimately has 9x-10x upside at this price.
Trevor Ariza ($5,800) becomes an appealing option tonight. He’s a true five-category scorer who is going to log massive minutes for the Rockets. It’s not unusual for him to play 40 minutes, take 10+ shots and be involved on both ends of the court. Ariza’s upside is showcased in Thursday night’s game against Portland. He was only 1-10 from the field and scored on six real points. That would sink most players on a given night, but Ariza tacked on eight rebounds, six assists and four steals to salvage his day, reaching 32.5 DK points and 5x value. Those are the type of performances Ariza can post and tonight he faces the Bucks. No team has given up more fantasy points per game to opposing SFs than Milwaukee.
It’s always risking to roster Serge Ibaka ($6,000) considering his is (at least) the third best scoring option on his team. Not only is he #3, his team’s usage is dominated by two superstars. On the plus side, Ibaka is carving out a nice role for OKC, averaging 14.2 PPG in the last six. He’s hauled in nine rebounds per game in that stretch and is coming off a massive 15-20 game against Golden State. The date with Sacramento tonight is as good as it gets, no team give up more points than the Kings. In two games this season, Ibaka is averaging 37 DK points against SAC, which would be worth 6x value tonight.
A thin night at the center position, so we will take our chances with Greg Monroe ($7,100). Monroe is extremely volatile, but usually feasts in good matchups. He’s had great success against HOU this season, scoring 44.25 DraftKings points in 29 minutes in their only meeting this season. Monroe has been nearly alternating good games with bad, resulting in his posting four games of 42+ in his last ten and five games of 28 or less in the same stretch. He’s too risky for cash games, so limit your exposure to GPPs only.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.