Dominant is the only word to describe Kemba Walker ($8,000) right now. Last week, he made opponents beg for mercy, scoring 50, 46.25 and 53 DraftKings points in his last three games. He go to the free throw line a total of 28 times and scored 89 points in that span. He has been dialed-in as the Hornets best offensive weapon for some time. He’s scored 40+ DraftKings points in seven of his last ten games and will earn the benefit of facing off with Ricky Rubio tonight. Few players have more exaggerated home/road splits than Walker, who is five DraftKings points better per game at home than on the road this season.
On the other side of ball is Zach Lavine ($6,000) who is feasting right now. He’s earned 31.9 DraftKings points per game in the last five contents while logging 38.3 minutes per contest. These are by far the most minutes Lavine has played all season. He has averaged 34.9 MPG since the All-Star break, compared to just 24.1 MPG before the break. A date with Charlotte is just what the doctor ordered for Lavine owners. Lavine dropped 38.75 DraftKings points on the Hornets in their only meeting this season.
It’s almost buying high, but difficult to avoid Giannis Antetokounmpo ($8,200) tonight. Luckily for us, the pricing on Giannis was released before last night’s massive game. Another massive triple double led to 73.5 DraftKings points. Add that to games of 75, 41.75, 32, 68.5, 37 and 65.75 in the previous six games and you have one of the hottest players in the league. Last night was his fourth triple-double in the last seven games. Now he gets a date with the Bulls who have surrendered 47.1 DraftKings points per game to Giannis in two meetings this season.
Consider how much risk you want to take on before rostering Dirk Nowitzki ($6,100) tonight. Despite not hitting the three-ball, he’s been shooting the ball well overall recently. Dirk is still a high usage player with plenty of upside. He showed that again last night posted a 30-6 line. The concerns are that he played 35 minutes last night in an overtime loss, so the Mavs might be a little more cautious than usual with Dirk’s minutes tonight. Despite those concerns, Dirk has scored 40+ DraftKings points in three of seven. He’s played well against the Clippers this season, averaging 39.8 DraftKings points in only 29.1 MPG in two contests this season.
The center position is unusual tonight. It’s fairly priced at the top and offers little value. I am looking to ride the hot hand of DeAndre Jordan ($7,600) who has posted back-to-back 51 DraftKings point games. He earned those points in the form of monster double-doubles. He’s volatile, but will continue to be a focal point in the Clippers offense. He’s gone for 40+ DraftKings points in seven of ten and will look to take advantage of a tired Mavericks team that played an overtime game last night.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off!
Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.