The last ten games for Damian Lillard have been feast of famine. Here are his L10 outputs: 28.25, 49.25, 55, 35, 58.75, 40.25, 53, 68.25, 39.75, 33.5. That’s about as volatile as it gets for a guy of Lillard’s stature. The good news for Lillard is that his shot totals are consistent. He’s launched at least 18 shots in nine of those game, which are the last nine. He also hasn’t scored less than 19 real points in any of those games so it really comes down to the secondary categories to determine how big of a game Lillard is going to have. His matchup with Indy should bode well as they are one of the faster teams in the league, which translates to them giving up more points. Lillard faced this Indy team once this season and dropped 58.75 DraftKings points.
Both Jrue Holiday and E’Twuan Moore are doubtful are today’s game against the Clippers. If that injury report holds true, consider Langston Galloway as a value guard option. In the two games that Holiday has missed this week, Galloway has taken 16 and 18 shots which translated to 32.75 and 30 DraftKings points. This isn’t the first time Galloway has flashed upside this season, but it’s always come with an extended workload. Galloway has played 28+ minutes on six different occasions this season and he’s averaging 30.87 DraftKings PPG in those contests. Compare that to the 13.1 DK PPG he’s averaging in every other game this season.
Keep a close eye on that Utah injury report. They’ve got injury concerns with George Hill, Rodney Hood, Derrick Favors and Gordon Hayward. All of those sat out Thursday’s game which thrust Joe Ingles into action. Ingles played 35 minutes, knocked down five 3PA, scored 21 real points and returned 43.25 DraftKings points for his owners. He would only be a viable option if the Jazz are thin again today, but this is a good matchup for a guy with (literally) 10x upside.
Blake Griffin also popped up on the injury report after Thursday’s game. If he sits, expect Marreese Speights to see extended run. Speights has been a fantasy darling for his garbage time scoring in just a handful of minutes. Speights is scoring 1.16 DraftKings points per minute this season, which is more than Kyle Lowry, Paul George and Kyring Irving among others. Obviously Speights rarely plays more than 18 minutes a game, but if he sees even a small increase of minutes, between 20-24 minutes, he could do plenty of damage to pay for himself. I expect Chris Paul to pick up the workload if Griffin doesn’t play, but you cannot look past Speights.
Three straight monster games for Rudy Gobert, who has also benefited from a shorthanded Utah team. He’s scored 43+ DraftKings points in three straight thanks to massive double-double lines. He’s piled in 56 points and 48 rebounds in those three games. Not to mention he’s an elite shot blocker who has swatted over 2.5 shots per game this season. Gobert will always been awesome defensively, but if Jazz players continue to miss time, he’s going to have to shoulder the offensive workload as well.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.