If you’re playing GPPs, be ready to plug in Brandon Knight ($7,400). We’ve talked all year about how volatile he can be, which takes him out of the running for your cash game lineups, but makes him perfect for a GPP play. Whether he comes off the bench for the Suns or not, he’s going to log 35+ minutes and take nearly twenty shots. He’s coming off two solid performances of 31 and 40.5 DraftKings points games and now gets the excellent matchup with the Sixers. There are few players who have 50 point upside for under $7,500, but Knight is certainly one of them.
In the same game, you’ll want to keep a close eye on the 76ers News Wire. They PG situation is murky at best, especially after waiving Tony Wroten and acquiring Ish Smith ($4,500). Add Smith to the Isaiah Canaan ($4,000), TJ McConnell ($3,700) and Kendall Marshall ($3,300) trio and it’s really a crapshoot on how the minutes will be distributed. If we get any clarity, I’d be willing to take significant exposure to the Sixers PG who plays the most minutes. All of them are reasonably priced and in the best matchup you can ask for against Phoenix. Ish Smith is my favorite, so if we knew he was going to step in a play 30+ minutes tonight, I’d have heavy exposure.
After struggling for most of the game, it was nice to see James Harden ($10,400) get it going and score 18 in the second half versus the Spurs yesterday. You have to remember that the matchup with Kawhi Leonard is the most difficult matchup any scorer can get. Leonard shuts down every All-Star across the league. There is no one on the Pellies that can come remotely close to guarding Harden at the same rate. This game is pinned with a 211 O/U, the largest on the slate, and has all the ingredients for Harden to have a massive night.
If you are looking for value at the SG position, take a peek at Arron Afllalo ($5,000). He’s been excellent for the Knicks scoring at least 14 real points in six of their last seven games. That has returned 28.5 DraftKings points on average which would be nearly 6x value again tonight. If Carmelo Anthony doesn’t suit up for this game (currently questionable), Afflalo’s role expands even more. AA dropped a 16-5-3 line with Carmelo out on Wednesday night, and took 17 (!!) shots. It would be hard to find another player in this price range who’s going to take that many shots.
Gordon Hayward ($7,000) has been the bane of my DFS existence for as long as I can remember. I almost always get him wrong. He’s laid eggs for me in awesome lineups and has cost me a ton of money over the years. He’s literally one of the most volatile players in the league, capable of dropping a dud at any time. Even with all that being said, I will be rostering him liberally again today because this is too good to pass up. Hayward has been a solid scorer for the Jazz all season long (outside of a few terrible games), but he’s their go-to scoring option. He logs massive minutes for Utah and has returned owners at least 38 DraftKings points in six of ten. He gets the LA Clippers today who are going to provide a big boost to the Jazz in terms of pace. Hayward has only scored more than 43 DraftKings points on one occasion this season. It was a massive 51.25 DK point game against…you guessed it, the Clippers.
Again, if Carmelo is out, Kristaps Prozingis ($7,400) will be a big beneficiary. Logging a 23-13 line against the Cavs on Wednesday night, for 52.25 DK points in Carmelo’s absence. There have been concerns about him hitting the “rookie wall” already this season, but he should be well-rested coming into this one with the Hawks.
The on-going saga of Markieff Morris is likely to lead to a trade, but for the short term, he’s serving a two game suspension for throwing a towel at his head coach. He wasn’t logging big minutes, but that’s 15-22 minutes the Suns will have to make up for tonight with the Sixers. Two names really jump to mind for me. First off, Jon Leuer ($5,500) should be expected to see some additional run tonight. He is the starter for the Suns, but with a shorter bench than usual, he could see a few more minutes. Coming off an 18-10 game versus Denver and walking into the best matchup you could ask for, Leuer should be in-line for another solid day.
The other beneficiary, I believe will be TJ Warren ($4,400). Warren has been a big contributor for the Suns when he’s on the court, he just simply hasn’t been able to earn enough minutes. He’s averaging 12.2 PPG, 4.2 RPG and 1.2 APG over his L5 in limited action. He’s penciled in for about 24 minutes per night, but he could see closer to 30 without Markieff in the lineup. Also, if this game turns into a blowout, as is always a chance against Philadelphia, Warren should see all the second unit minutes he can handle.
The price on Dwight Howard ($6,600) is simply too low. I know he’s capable of disapeering for extendied stretches or getting into foul trouble as soon as he walks in the building, but come on! This guys has some of the highest upside at the position in an excellent matchup. He’s a walking double-double who can pile on the blocks. The matchup with New Orleans, doesn’t get much better as they surrender the third most DraftKings points to opposing centers. This game has the highest O/U on the board to boot.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.