Let’s start with the OKC/GSW game in general. According to @SportsInsights, this game has the highest O/U in the NBA since Warriors/Knicks in April 2010. This game opened with a monster 233.5 line. Both teams are in the top ten in pace this season and rank 1st and 2nd in points scored per game. Everyone in this game is worth a look tonight, but Klay Thompson ($7,800) really sticks out. He’s a fair price tonight and has been scorching lately. He’s averaged 33.8 PPG in the last four while cranking out 43.3 DraftKings PPG in that span. Thompson started the season slow, averaging only 18.8 PPG in the first 22 games of the season. He’s turned it around and has now posted 24.4 PPG over the last 25 outings.
The point guard position is pretty fair on pricing tonight, but Ricky Rubio ($6,300) appears to have 6x upside. He’s averaging 37 DraftKings points per game over his last three, which is what he needs to hit tonight for 6x return. His shooting has been atrocious but he is one of the best assist men in the league and is racking up steals at a torrid pace. If he scores you 10 real points tonight, you’d be thrilled and anything over that is simply a bonus. Also some nice history against the Bulls in their only meeting, posting what would be 6x value tonight with a 36.5 DraftKings point game.
You have to like the production from Andrew Wiggins ($6,500) recently. The sophmore has looked a lot like his Rookie of the Year form, posing 42.5 and 44.5 DraftKings points in back-to-back nights against both LA teams. He took 20+ shots in both games, which is the first time he’s accomplished that feat since December 18th. He still scares me as a cash game option since he’s been so inconsistent this season, but you have to be encouraged with the 41.25 DraftKings points that he scored against Chicago in their only meeting this season.
The most overlooked SF has to be Jeff Green ($5,700) who is absolutely scorching right now. He’s doing it all for the Grizzlies, scoring 26 PPG in the last four games, while returning his owned 38.7 DK PPG in the process. He’s providing a full five category offering to his owners and is becoming a large focal point in the Grizzlies offense. This four game stretch has provided four of his top games in shot attempts, four of his top six scoring games and three of his top four DraftKings scoring games this season. He’s literally playing the best basketball of his season right now.
We talked about Nic Batum ($6,300) yesterday and now you have to run him back again tonight. A stellar 45 DraftKings performance (7.1x value) last night and no price change today. We talked about his ability to fill up every category which is exactly what he has done against the Wizards in their two meetings this season. Batum is averaging 15/9.5/6.5/2.5 and 43.6 DraftKings points against Washington. Again, he’s at home where he is 8 DraftKings points better than on the road.
Draymond Green ($9,100) is chalk city at the PF position tonight. We’ve already talked about the massive O/U in this game, and Draymond is a walking triple-double right now, posting 10 of them this season. A great stat from RotoWorld tells us that he is one of only eight players in the last 33 years to accomplish that many triple-doubles in a single season and he still have three months to play. He’s coming off games of 59 and 57 DraftKings points this week and averaging 1.38 DK points per minute since the New Year.
Here’s a really sneaky contrarian play for you. How about Markieff Morris ($6,100). He was chalk on Thursday night before laying an egg against the Rockets. Now his price has gone up and he’s in a poor matchup with the Utah Jazz. I suspect the combination of those three factors drives his ownership down significantly. On the plus side, it looks like Markieff has going to be heavily used under interim Head Coach Earl Watson. Morris has taken 12, 13 and 20 shots in the last three games. The last time he took 20 or more shots was November 8th! Morris flashed his upside on Tuesday against Toronto, scoring 58.75 DraftKings points.His stock is trending up and his ownership will likely be down, despite having to be the #1 scoring option for the Suns moving forward.
If you follow this article on a daily basis, you know that I think Brook Lopez ($7,700) is one of the worst defenders in the league and that’s because he is. However, his offensive skills are only matched by a few big men. Lopez has quietly been shredding the league, averaging 49.15 DraftKings points in his last five games. He’s cracked 50 DraftKings points in four of his last ten games and gets the dream matchup with the Sixers tonight. Lopez should be matched up with Jahlil Okafor, who might be the only seven footer in the league with less of a defensive presence than Lopez.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.