You can play the narrative game with Isaiah Thomas ($7,700) as he travels back to Phoenix to face the team that dealt his to Boston last season. Thomas has been quotes as saying he wants to “go off” against his former team. I prefer to look at his recent performance and matchup instead, with the narrative just being gravy. Thomas is averaging 43.1 DraftKings PPG in the last three games and he’s poured in at least 20 real points in eleven straight games while averaging 26.2 PPG in the process. He’s a big time scorer who can fill it up in a hurry and gets the ideal matchup with Phoenix tonight. No team in the league allows more points to opposing guards than the Suns.
I don’t particularly love the SG position tonight, but Hollis Thompson ($4,400) is worth a consideration. He’s logging 33.1 MPG in the last eleven games for the depleted Sixers. The court-time has turned into 24.7 DK PPG for his owners, a number that would place him near 6x value again tonight. His last four have been slightly better, averaging 26.7 DK PPG in the most recent stretch. He’s scored double-digits points in nine of ten and can kick in a few points in other categories as well.
Tobias Harris ($6,000) being traded to the Pistons has made a lot of cash game players happy. Harris has been a solid source of 5x value on near nightly basis. He would need 30 DraftKings points to his that number again tonight. Even when Harris doesn’t reach value, he gets you close. He has scored 25+ DraftKings points in 16 of 18 games since joining Detroit. He is basically “dud-proof”. He has just a dash of upside, which he flashed last week against the Atlanta Hawks scoring 42.25 DraftKings points with a 19-11 line. Harris faces those same Hawks again tonight.
Very quietly, Ed Davis ($3,900) has been one of the best values in the league. He is averaging 29.5 DK PPG over his last four which would be 7.5x value again tonight. He’s coming off games of 34.75 and 30 DraftKings points thanks to his ability to score in double-digits and clean the glass at the same time. In this four game stretch, Davis is averaging 11 points per game and has hauled in 8.5 RPG. The concern is that he’s only playing 20-22 minutes a night, but he’s doing damage when he’s on the court. A matchup with Philadelphia provides excellent upside, especially if this game gets out of hand and Davis gets extended run with the second unit.
Alright, let’s face it. Rudy Gobert ($5,700) has been pretty bad recently, but I am ready to buy low. He’s posted duds in three of four, failing to crack 16 DraftKings points in any of those games. The one other game in that stretch, he dropped a massive 12-14-2-2-2 line for 40.5 DraftKings points. Usually a consistent player, Gobert has turned more volatile in the last month. I am willing to invest after another price drop and a very good matchup with Minnesota. The Wolves played a 2OT game last night and had to travel from Washington to get back home. Gobert has faced Minnesota once this season, scoring 40.5 DraftKings points. Gobert is the type of player who has tremendous upside with his ability to block shots. Facing the heavy legs of Minnesota should be considered a significant advantage.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.