Chris Paul ($9,100) is my favorite Point Guard on the slate. He’s a $1,500 discount off of Russell Westbrook while still finding himself in an excellent matchup and high total game. CP3 is an assist machine who is now being asked to take on an expanded scoring role with the injury to Blake Griffin. He is a virtual lock for 40 DraftKings points with upside in the high 50s. The Pellies defense has been terrible against opposing guards all season so Paul should be giving them fits again tonight.
The big Brandon Knight ($7,500) game is coming. Is it tonight? Certainly has a lot of factors in his favor. This game has the highest total on the board and Knight is likely to take upwards of twenty shots. Assuming the Suns can avoid a blowout, Knight should see a full workload near 40 minutes. He’s simply one of the highest upside players when he catches fire. However, he’s just as likely to score 3x value as he is to score 8x value.
I’m willing to take my chances with a Klay Thompson ($7,500) bounce-back game tonight. I understand that when Steph Curry is on the court, he makes the lives easier for everyone around him, but when you’re investing in Klay tonight, you are investing in a guy who’s going to be asked to take 18-22 shots in the highest total game on the slate. That’s a great player to have in your lineup. Throw in the fact that there will be a percentage of owners who refuse to roster Klay after his dud last night and it makes him even more appealing.
We started to see some signs of life from Paul George ($8,600) last night. He has been on a terrible run over the past two weeks, but it’s driven his price down to the lowest it’s been in quite some time. George posted 19 points against a tough Chicago defense and will get a much better matchup with Milwaukee tonight who has struggled to defend wing players all year. He comes with a ton of risk, but there’s no way PG13 will stay quiet for long and he’s one of my favorite buy low candidates on this slate.
Again, a buy low candidate in Draymond Green ($9,300). Last night. Green had basically the worst game he could possibly have, shooting 4-15 from the field, not recording a block and only scoring 11 real points. Despite that, he still found a way to score 31.75 DraftKings points. That tells you how high his floor is because he can contribute in so many ways. More often than not, he’s going to shoot closer to 50%, threaten double digit rebounds and assists and sprinkle in a block or two. I have no concerns with firing him up again tonight assuming Curry doesn’t play.
John Henson ($4,000) is carving out a nice role in Milwaukee, earning 20-25 minutes in five of his last six. That’s not a ton of minutes, but his production when he’s on the court has been eye-popping. Henson has blocked 18 shots in the last four games. EIGHTEEN! At two points a piece on DraftKings, he’s reaching half his value on blocks alone! He’s scored at least 25 DraftKings points in four of his last five which would be over 6x value again tonight.
If Derrick Favors sits another game out, it’s plug and play for Jeff Withey ($3,600). He’s now started three games in Favors’ absence and returned his owners 20.75, 35.5 and 31.25 DraftKings points. He’s stuffed the stat-sheet in his last two with lines or 13-9-2-1-1 and 11-12-2-2-1. That’s a ton of value from a guy priced under $4K who can score in so many categories.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.