Today’s Projections | NEW! Enter The Jersey Freeroll
2015-16 Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar | Salary Database | Points Allowed By Position
The Utah Jazz acquired Shelvin Mack ($4,100) at the trade deadline and they are not afraid to use him. After rotting on the bench for the Hawks this season, Mack has already taken over the starting role in Utah from Raul Neto in just two games. Mack has logged 24 and 32 minutes in those contests, while taking 11 shots in each. The 51.6 DraftKings points that he has scored in two games with the Jazz is almost the same amount he scored COMBINED in his last 18 games with the Hawks. We don’t have much of a sample size, but Mack is a capable scorer who is going to handle the ball a ton for the Jazz. I hate the matchup with the Spurs, but that defense is much less formidable if Kawhi Leonard is less than 100%.
The guard positions are absolutely stacked with Westbrook, Curry, Lillard and James Harden ($10,500) on the slate. It’s Harden who really jumps off the page for tonight. He continues to stuff the stat-sheet on a nightly basis, averaging a ridiculous 58.7 DraftKings PPG over the course of the last 14 contests. That rate would be five points higher than the highest scoring player on DraftKings this season (Westbrook, 53.7). I shouldn’t have to convince you on Harden’s fantasy prowess, but it’s the matchup here that has me drooling. In the three games that Harden and the Rockets have faced Portland this year, the beard has scored 64.8, 52.5 and 84.5 DraftKings points. Those are not typos! Portland accounts for his 1st, 9th and 25th highest scoring games out of 57 this season.
It’s been a roller-coaster season for Mirza Teletovic ($4,800), but he is forcing us to take notice again tonight. He’s averaging nearly 30 minutes a night over the last three and has returned his owners 29.2 DK PPG in the process. When playing 25 MPG, Mirza has never scored less than 23 DraftKings points this season. That alone would be nearly 5x value at his discounted prize tonight. He is, however, averaging 31.9 DraftKings PPG in the eight games he’s played over 25 minutes, which would sit him at 6.6x value tonight. Expect his to be a volatile option as the Suns continue to work through rotations, but he’s worth a look.
The PF position is relatively fair tonight, so you have to look at “buying low” on Draymond Green ($8,600). He still costs nearly $9K but he’s seen his price fall $700 in the last four games. By his own standard, Green has struggled lately. He’s only shooting 14-31 from the field, thanks to 0-9 from three point range in his last three games. Despite that, he still posted contests of 50.25 and 41 DraftKings points in two of those games. The latter was the most impressive. He struggled mightily shooting the ball, 0-4 from deep and 2-10 overall, but still tacked on 14 rebounds and nine assists to go with his six real points. That shows you how high his floor really is that he can score 41 DraftKings points in what would be deemed a poor outing. He’s a walking triple-double, so any chance you can roster him at a discount, you have to take it.
Feast on some Greg Monroe ($7,100) tonight. The Bucks center is certainly volatile, but has massive upside. Here are his last five games: 54.5, 28.25, 20.5, 50.5, 29. Monroe is certainly capable of taking advantage of a good matchup, which is what he did the last time he faced the Celtics, just two weeks ago. Monroe posted a 29-12 game for 54.5 DK points. In fact, in the two games against the Celtics this season, Monroe has scored 54.5 and 45 DraftKings points. Those rank as two of his best eight games this season.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off!
Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.