Today’s Projections

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It’s a small slate, so I want to go a little off the map here and discuss Dennis Schroder ($5,000). For nearly a season and a half, Schroder has been the league’s premier backup PG. Anytime Jeff Teague missed a game, you could plug Schroder in and know you were getting a solid fantasy option and a player who is not afraid to shoot the ball. As of late, Schroder has been in the doghouse earning DNP (coach’s decision) in two straight games. However, he bounced back on Tuesday night to play his normal 25 minutes of action, posting a solid 7-8 line for the Hawks. He is going to be massively under-owned thanks to his recent status in a game where he could log heavy minutes and usage. It appears he’s back to his 20-25 minutes a night and if the Hawks begin to run away with this game against Philly, it’s going to be Schroder handling all the fourth quarter minutes. This is VERY risky, but plenty of sneaky upside on this tiny slate.

You have to love Trey Burke ($4,900), getting all the minutes he can handle for the Jazz right now. A big uptick in usage the last week and a half, earning his owners plenty of value. Burke has scored 35.75 (2x) and 22.35 DraftKings points in three of four. It’s nice to see that he’s taking double-digit shot attempts almost nightly and if he catches fire…look out! An uptempo pace is just what the doctor ordered for Burke, who is in play again tonight.

We hope that the ownership dwindles on Lou Williams ($5,900) who’s coming off a dud of a game against Golden State on Tuesday night. Playing only 24 minutes in a blowout, Williams was 0-7 from the field and did all of his scoring (10 points) from the free throw line. That’s an outlier for Williams who’s been scorching as of late. He averaged 36.9 DraftKings points per game in the four games prior to his dud. This game has a big total and Sacramento prefers to try to outscore you than play anything resembling defense, so expect Lou to bounce-back.

The price is flying up on Rodney Hood ($5,800), but you can’t overlook him with only four games on the schedule. Three massive games in a row for Hood with 41.75, 47.5 and 38.25 DraftKings points. He’s been incredibly efficient, making 23 of his last 45 shots in that span. Hood dropped 23 real points on these Rockets on Monday night and a return of 6x value is definitely in his range of outcomes.

Literally every small forward has a favorable matchup tonight. My favorite option taking all factors into consideration might be Jae Crowder ($6,400). Crowder has been awesome, averaging 32.6 DraftKings points per game over his last five outings and seems to be over-looked every night. He doesn’t do anything sexy, but he racks up fantasy points. He’s scored double-digit real points in nine of ten and has swiped 8 steals over his last three games. That’s a ton of fantasy production from a guy who will be looked over with so many appealing options.

How can you not love Paul Millsap ($8,300) to bounce back tonight? He had a rough outing on Tuesday night. It was a reasonable 19-7 line, but only turned into 31.75 DraftKings points. This is a guy that, coming into that game, hadn’t scored less than 45.25 DraftKings points in four straight. The matchup with the Sixers is sublime and Millsap is heavy chalk, but his production has been too good to look past.

Alright, I’ve held back on writing about Carl Landry ($3,300) for a few days, becuase I think his minutes are extremely volatile. However, I can’t avoid this paragraph any more! In the five games he’s played for the Sixers since the end of December, he’s averaged 18.8 DraftKings points per game. That would be 5.6x value tonight, but he actually has even more upside. He laid a 0 point game last week, so he’s earned at least 21 DraftKings points in every other game, scoring double-digit real points in all of those. He could see his usual 16-22 minutes tonight, but even more if this turns into a blowout. On a small slate, everyone is viable and I think Landry is the best of the bargain buys tonight.

Oh man, Pau Gasol ($8,000) will be heavily owned and for good reason. Two absolutely massive games in a row, earning 52.75 and 55.75 DraftKings points against TOR and MIL this week. Now, he gets arguably the best matchup of the three against Boston. Pau has faced the Celtics once this year so far, torching them for a 16-15 game that paid off 46.3 DraftKings points for his owners. He is the absolute chalk at the position, but hard to think anyone will outscore him.

Jeff Withey ($5,100) is really interesting again tonight. I think his value takes a small hit if Derrick Favors suits up, but he’s carved out such a nice role at center, it might not even matter. Withey has been torrid the last few games, averaging 30.5 DraftKings points over his L6. He’s coming off a big time 8-11 game for 33.25 DraftKings points against the very same Rockets that he will see again tonight. A nice value play at center.

That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.