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A really sneaky play with Deron Williams ($5,700) tonight. He left Monday’s game early with a hip injury that sidelined him on Wednesday. He played Friday night, in limited action and struggled against the Spurs. He bounced back on Saturday night with a 22-11 line for 45.5 DraftKings points after taking his full share of minutes. That’s the sixth time in fourteen games he’s scored at least 36 DraftKings points, which would be well over 6x value again tonight. This is an exciting matchup for Williams against his old team in the Utah Jazz. Williams played the Jazz once this season, posted a 23-8-6 line for 49 DraftKings points. Williams is also five DraftKings points better at home this season, where this one will be played.
It’s all about minutes, baby! Arron Afflalo ($5,300) logs serious minutes for the Knicks. He’s played at least 40 (!!) in four straight games. All that time on the court is affording Afflalo plenty of opptunity, which he’s cashed in for 56 shot attempts in that stretch. He’s returned at least 5x value to his owners in each of those games. He’s a real threat to heat up from the outside especially against the Wizards who allow opposing teams to shoot 39% from beyond the arc, the worst mark in the league. It’s worth noting that it’s difficult to determine how the Knicks rotations will continue without Derek Fisher at the helm, but Afflalo has carved himself a nice role that should continue under any head coach.
We probably have to buy on Carmelo Anthony ($8,400) as well. There’s always a narrative about a team playing gangbusters in their first game under a new head coach. I don’t always subscribe to that, but you don’t need to in order to roster Carmelo tonight. Melo is averaging 44.3 DraftKings PPG over the last five and has hauled in 10+ rebounds in four of those games. He’s doing it all for the Knicks right now and posted 54.8 DK points on the Wizards in their only meeting this season, his second highest total of the year.
Now this is the LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,100) we expected to see when he signed this offseason with the Spurs. A monster week for Aldridge, who has posted 38+ in each game, while averaging 43.2 DK PPG in the process. Five of his last six games are five of his top sixteen games this season. Think about that. One third of his best games this year have come in the last 14 days. With the absence of Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili, there is plenty of offensive opportunity for Aldridge.
Let’s get this straight. Rudy Gobert ($6,600) posted back-to-back games of 42.5 then 43.75 and his price goes down! I’ve written about Rudy, probably more than any other player this season. I just can’t get over how good he has been. He’s averaging 34.2 DraftKings PPG in his last 15 games, which is how many he’s played since missing 17 games in the middle of the season. He’s posted six games of 40+ DK points over his last eleven. He’s just absolutely scorching in every category. He’s liable to rack up multiple blocks and steals while scoring double-digits points and being an elite rebounder. That’s a ton of upside for a guy priced under $7K.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.